TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x662a…77b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
388
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Boxing, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 56 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT26618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 266 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+515.7%+$5,067.2
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$1,740.37
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$380.95
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$326
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$845
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$2,835
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$369.65
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$3,358
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.1
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.5
Showing 25 of 266 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4337.2%16 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$930
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$282.41
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,089.06
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,140
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,741
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,688Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$944.24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,728Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,333.89
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,421Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+247.8%+$3,521.61
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$687.04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.65
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$812.35
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.26
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.83
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,850Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$3,922.13
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,176.65
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,258.08
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,597.14
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+525%+$81.29
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.98
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$172.1
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$117.38
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,584Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$646.99
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.3%+$1,792.29
Will Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$350
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-66.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$689.58
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$3,066.46
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$2,333.33
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$3,201
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26,444Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$16,515.19
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,796.4
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,292.14
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,278.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-73.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-77.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+210.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+143.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$208.45
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$508.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$233.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.2%+$155.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$239
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.