Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x750f495779adfc70a508af943bedb6e4759c9daaf067fd794f053d7e4505c717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,107,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,211,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,107,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,961 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x669d…c044backed Over | 34c | 866,221$296,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296,566.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 494,889$314,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,945.32 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…fd56backed Over | 32c | 476,187$151,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,750 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Under | 58c | 386,557$224,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161,646.74 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…2e21backed Over | 41c | 366,140$151,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,117.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 333,389$206,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,862.72 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…4487backed Under | 59c | 333,388$195,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,356.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…2084backed Over | 36c | 333,005$120,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,000 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 42c | 330,936$137,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,750.61 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…697bbacked Under | 72c | 303,682$217,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,040.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 59c | 224,999$131,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,374.61 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 217,164$90,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,360.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Over | 31c | 200,000$61,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,999.99 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Over | 42c | 160,070$67,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,229.44 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 59c | 143,742$84,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,551.1 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 79c | 143,418$113,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,258.11 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996a…e3ccbacked Under | 69c | 142,109$98,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,586.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…8a06backed Under | 58c | 132,521$76,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,658.96 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…24a6backed Under | 59c | 99,999$58,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,999.63 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Under | 57c | 87,509$50,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,409.4 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…5d4bbacked Over | 19c | 84,267$15,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,688.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…232fbacked Under | 58c | 80,000$46,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,849.86 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Under | 59c | 78,371$46,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,132.05 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Under | 58c | 61,352$35,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,658.72 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Over | 41c | 60,000$24,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,599.96 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Under | 57c | 58,434$33,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,877.78 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 58c | 57,198$33,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,828.28 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Over | 42c | 50,411$21,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,373.8 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Under | 59c | 50,000$29,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,750 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 58c | 46,143$26,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,610.93 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 41c | 45,918$18,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,979.24 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 42c | 45,788$19,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,002.02 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 41c | 42,384$17,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,583.21 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Under | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Under | 59c | 40,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,599.93 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 59c | 40,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,499.89 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…6866backed Under | 59c | 38,349$22,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,818.94 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…fbf4backed Over | 42c | 35,095$14,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,564.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 58c | 32,417$18,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,528.33 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Over | 27c | 31,794$8,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,513.6 | 223 | 38.1%85 W · 138 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 59c | 31,446$18,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,950.07 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Over | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 40c | 29,796$11,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,880.19 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 41c | 29,666$12,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,237.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 29,107$16,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,246.54 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Under | 59c | 24,466$14,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,092.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Over | 41c | 24,242$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 58c | 24,089$14,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,026.29 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 42c | 23,800$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Under | 58c | 21,460$12,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,945.71 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 21,024$12,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,844.45 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Under | 57c | 20,734$11,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,863.59 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 58c | 20,301$11,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,531.02 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 20,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 59c | 20,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.92 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Under | 58c | 19,000$11,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,924.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 58c | 18,035$10,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,519.37 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 59c | 18,001$10,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,403.71 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…ac3dbacked Over | 31c | 17,978$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,605 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…8e88backed Over | 41c | 16,800$6,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,954.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 42c | 16,465$6,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,927.47 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under | 72c | 15,019$10,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,157.2 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…bd42backed Under | 68c | 14,646$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.47 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 65c | 13,920$9,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,820.88 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 41c | 13,865$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,719.11 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 64c | 13,706$8,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.48 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 58c | 13,049$7,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,419.23 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…5730backed Over | 1c | 12,776$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 61c | 12,597$7,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,954.2 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 72c | 12,414$8,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.39 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 67c | 12,053$8,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.88 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…4d36backed Over | 42c | 12,048$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 66c | 12,000$7,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.97 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 42c | 11,834$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Under | 58c | 11,500$6,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 42c | 11,000$4,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,647.5 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…857bbacked Over | 42c | 10,843$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 64c | 10,825$6,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.46 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 27c | 10,618$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.69 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 58c | 10,600$6,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.51 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 10,283$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.37 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Over | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Under | 58c | 10,000$5,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Over | 42c | 10,000$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…77c6backed Over | 43c | 10,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +13.4wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Under | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Over | 41c | 9,705$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Over | 42c | 9,639$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 9,290$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.15 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 42c | 9,157$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693e…1e67backed Over | 41c | 9,157$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dab…c5c1backed Over | 41c | 9,138$3,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.34 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…a234backed Over | 19c | 9,121$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Under | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.88 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…841bbacked Over | 35c | 8,930$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.59 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a9…e390backed Under | 59c | 8,747$5,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 58c | 8,696$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.65 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 58c | 8,667$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,602.98 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 59c | 8,600$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.5 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 58c | 8,513$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.86 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5this page
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.