Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9195c9dee38e39e4f5824396d9338852131f998d7ba2d0684c011294b85ca2fb

Rebuilt 48 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,632 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7826…9d51backed Over	35c	14,125$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	66c	10,273$6,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,507.52	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Over	33c	6,133$2,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,023.89	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Under	64c	3,123$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.44	84	58.3%49 W · 35 L	+9.7wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	64c	2,500$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	70c	1,607$1,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.19	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under	67c	1,512$1,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.85	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	67c	1,313$879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.15	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	66c	1,250$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.5	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	66c	771.27$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.48	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	65c	769$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.15	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Over	34c	753.2$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.96	232	30.2%70 W · 162 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Over	35c	654$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.9	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over	33c	500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over	33c	500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	115	45.2%52 W · 63 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Over	33c	500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	34c	499.93$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.98	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over	33c	448.48$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under	66c	397.41$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.12	364	48.6%177 W · 187 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	67c	390$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.7	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Over	32c	312.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.16	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under	50c	310$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.6	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39e4…03d4backed Over	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7b…ce38backed Over	35c	235.02$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.26	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	65c	192.31$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.31	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Over	33c	190.91$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	232	36.6%85 W · 147 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over	35c	160.37$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.13	185	48.1%89 W · 96 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over	33c	155$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.15	146	55.5%81 W · 65 L	+8.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0225…7bebbacked Under	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d18…dfe3backed Under	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	68c	142.13$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.81	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	66c	135.91$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.21	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1f…fed5backed Over	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	135	26.7%36 W · 99 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under	66c	114.92$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.07	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca77…d7a8backed Over	31c	112.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.91	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over	34c	99.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	281	48.4%136 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Over	33c	84.85$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Over	34c	82.35$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	195	53.3%104 W · 91 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	34c	74.61$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.26	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	66c	73.24$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.9	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	66c	72.01$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.22	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over	34c	71.38$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.97	153	25.5%39 W · 114 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under	66c	63.53$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	258	57%147 W · 111 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	27c	61.64$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7288backed Under	66c	54.55$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.55	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b20…9dffbacked Over	35c	53.09$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.58	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd747…ead8backed Under	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	67c	47.15$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.56	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7513…1441backed Over	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed Under	65c	42.87$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under	67c	41.65$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.87	381	55.4%211 W · 170 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Under	67c	39.79$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.13	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Over	33c	36.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x918a…03c8backed Under	66c	34.85$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.85	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Under	66c	30.08$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.08	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	69cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c7…19e7backed Under	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x193a…2dfabacked Under	66c	29$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.87	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under	69c	24$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.44	93	47.3%44 W · 49 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked Under	66c	23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.82	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under	66c	21.46$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.29	49	67.3%33 W · 16 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	68c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event