Spread: Spain (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x562959ccec9b871d9e12d461740376e0ce3729b8ffd7d68f845121a2671e777e

Rebuilt 24 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Argentinaof Spain, Argentina
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $913,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $913,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $913,892 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Spain	7c	119,999$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,999.96	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Spain	6c	100,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.97	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Spain	7c	50,612$3,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,666	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Spain	7c	36,033$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Spain	5c	30,000$1,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,525	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Spain	6c	19,999$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.93	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain	3c	17,703$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Spain	7c	15,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Spain	6c	14,854$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925.37	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e6…cfdfbacked Spain	7c	14,327$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.95	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0366…a001backed Spain	7c	13,557$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.99	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	19cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Spain	5c	10,715$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spain	6c	10,000$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-40%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe700…7005backed Spain	6c	10,000$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Spain	6c	10,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Spain	5c	8,194$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.85	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Spain	7c	8,009$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.58	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x471f…e47cbacked Spain	7c	6,893$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.63	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-53%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spain	4c	5,614$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.49	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Spain	7c	5,400$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.5	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Spain	6c	5,010$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.59	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Spain	7c	4,902$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.73	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spain	7c	4,825$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.08	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spain	5c	4,609$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.39	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Spain	6c	4,000$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed Spain	6c	4,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Spain	6c	3,811$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.95	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Spain	7c	3,571$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Spain	3c	3,504$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.91	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed Spain	6c	3,200$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-33%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Spain	6c	3,200$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	199	38.2%76 W · 123 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Spain	7c	3,000$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	112	30.4%34 W · 78 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed Spain	6c	3,000$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.5	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+4.5wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spain	7c	2,764$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.47	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Spain	7c	2,605$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.83	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Spain	7c	2,602$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.3	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed Spain	8c	2,552$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.44	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Spain	7c	2,500$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.58	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Spain	6c	2,500$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.25	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Spain	2c	2,259$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	409	12%49 W · 360 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Spain	5c	2,220$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.59	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Spain	6c	2,100$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Spain	7c	2,053$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.72	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Spain	2c	1,779$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.16	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e8…0819backed Spain	5c	1,748$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.53	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Spain	7c	1,744$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.36	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spain	7c	1,693$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.77	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c7a…fdbebacked Spain	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Spain	6c	1,600$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Spain	7c	1,557$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.98	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Spain	2c	1,553$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.39	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc27…9b17backed Spain	6c	1,538$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.20per pick	51cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Spain	6c	1,538$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Spain	6c	1,538$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	302	19.9%60 W · 242 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x62c3…b47abacked Spain	8c	1,500$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-46%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab7…5b3ebacked Spain	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Spain	1c	1,213$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0764…732ebacked Spain	4c	1,128$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…6aa4backed Spain	6c	1,108$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Spain	7c	1,102$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.11	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Spain	6c	1,100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Spain	7c	1,084$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.2	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Spain	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	115	31.3%36 W · 79 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed Spain	6c	999.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	150	34.7%52 W · 98 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf9…32f5backed Spain	6c	954.77$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Spain	2c	950$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Spain	6c	881.98$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.33	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25fb…7cc5backed Spain	6c	872.15$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.69	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Spain	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	130	21.5%28 W · 102 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Spain	8c	825$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	94	17%16 W · 78 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Spain	7c	818$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.17	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7d…224cbacked Spain	6c	800$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-78%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Spain	6c	794.33$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.66	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Spain	6c	769.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8cb…e963backed Spain	6c	769.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	94	14.9%14 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x674a…3600backed Spain	7c	728.57$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Spain	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Spain	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	142	35.2%50 W · 92 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7259…a6c4backed Spain	7c	700$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Spain	6c	700$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.38	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Spain	6c	671.54$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.65	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spain	2c	650$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…eaa6backed Spain	6c	640$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-48%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3491…5909backed Spain	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Spain	6c	610.27$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	332	21.7%72 W · 260 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed Spain	7c	610$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.65	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Spain	7c	606.16$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	470	29.1%137 W · 333 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc123…ae89backed Spain	3c	545.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84dc…a8b1backed Spain	6c	532.5$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x173e…9ff4backed Spain	7c	503.69$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.74	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd915…e3f7backed Spain	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Spain	7c	499.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Spain	6c	499.24$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spain	7c	493.32$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.53	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Spain	6c	480$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	295	29.8%88 W · 207 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddc…1ceebacked Spain	3c	477.6$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcae4…e479backed Spain	8c	472.25$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.78	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	+56.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…b180backed Spain	7c	436$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.52	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Spain	7c	400$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7150…6a8abacked Spain	6c	400$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spain (-2.5)this page
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event