TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,610,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,514,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,610,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed Yes37c1,029,999$380,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380,599.585451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c937,046$529,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407,912.14,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes53c525,843$278,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278,449.722,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No46c487,496$221,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265,609.471,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No51c400,595$205,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194,747.7414139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No49c375,486$184,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,241.2656541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c363,317$171,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,946.698,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes54c330,548$177,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177,254.961,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0e…2ee5backed No45c299,998$134,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,998.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes54c267,564$145,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145,488.2617452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No47c253,996$119,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,677.9322139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked No45c249,998$112,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137,499.1515249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes11c237,622$24,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,958.579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No65c210,405$136,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,988.6974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes44c204,963$89,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,752.949441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d15…7a94backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No46c173,993$80,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,956.1421343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes54c159,242$86,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,0005728.1%16 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No69c140,078$97,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,956.859943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed No57c125,000$71,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,7002931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No46c125,000$57,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,098.128046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No45c118,102$53,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,956.335334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed No50c110,040$55,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,620.436053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No47c108,657$50,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,099.388845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No47c105,743$49,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,250.397642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda9b…f240backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66d0…c55abacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No48c98,640$47,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,292.7932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes54c98,544$53,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,113.7423942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b2…257bbacked Yes52c97,298$50,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,907.941040%4 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+123.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes54c93,760$50,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,347.62,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No63c91,983$57,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,122.0721029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd352…56cdbacked Yes55c88,298$48,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,563.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x696e…0fd8backed Yes55c85,000$46,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,75010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes54c84,000$45,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,359.9915843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked No46c81,842$37,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,192.367545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes53c78,279$41,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,131.8975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab3e…de25backed No46c75,278$34,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,808.432352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes41c71,446$29,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,015.176728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No45c67,964$30,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,282.0620731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes55c67,656$37,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,210.89345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes53c62,690$33,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,078.475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No49c60,263$29,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,633.144134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes3c59,979$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.278835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No54c58,435$31,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,917.391,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed No46c55,905$25,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,188.7110653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Yes54c55,556$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0006943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No50c53,250$26,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,809.958057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed9…130fbacked Yes0c51,612$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No45c50,299$22,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,589.6621444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Yes55c48,054$26,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,426.386055%33 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x996a…e3ccbacked No49c40,709$19,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,956.041952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…59bfbacked Yes54c40,600$21,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,923.951154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked No73c40,250$29,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8452941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Yes55c39,989$21,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,993.775745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…64d4backed Yes0c38,630$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6340%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No46c38,000$17,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,679.7919252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4eb…1a6ebacked Yes53c37,891$20,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,082.194323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes54c37,150$19,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,880.762,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b6…ca29backed Yes55c36,716$20,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,194.062157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde82…705dbacked No46c36,302$16,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,603.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes55c36,044$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0004136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes51c35,902$18,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,310.0642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No47c35,178$16,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,708.017143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes40c33,192$13,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,267.4537944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed No66c31,817$21,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,744.155234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa18d…9b51backed Yes55c31,611$17,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,386.282536%9 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes55c31,009$17,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,0556947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No56c30,000$16,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,214.8131851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0646…7ee4backed Yes0c29,680$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.68425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…2500backed Yes17c29,575$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002817.9%5 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes54c29,462$15,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,909.464327.9%12 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd34b…4b15backed Yes24c27,725$6,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,714.561010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Yes55c27,058$14,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,881.912255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes55c26,182$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40010555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No46c26,000$11,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,039.9447144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No46c26,000$11,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,039.8748441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed No46c26,000$11,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,099.852867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Yes55c25,988$14,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,287.47448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No45c25,000$11,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,70074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd97d…6bf4backed Yes54c24,587$13,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,276.951850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No46c24,000$11,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,959.8750243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ca…7895backed No46c23,184$10,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,519.37230.6%22 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes43c22,345$9,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,658.974,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Yes55c21,620$11,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,890.994348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…d5b0backed Yes0c21,480$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Yes33c21,153$7,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0208952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2260…dc83backed Yes54c20,976$11,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,326.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes52c20,953$10,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,994.338329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes55c20,864$11,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,475.1923949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No47c20,843$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,943.681,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No46c20,800$9,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,231.8944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes40c20,488$8,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,166.0565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked No46c20,031$9,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,816.636126.2%16 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes51c20,000$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,1009823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.9217235.5%61 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed Yes54c19,456$10,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,429.15349.1%26 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No47c19,400$9,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,281.948139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77dc…fb03backed Yes55c19,279$10,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,603.331758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.