TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$626,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$649,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $626,009 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa47d…2c4abacked Over0c150,000$150 inLost-$150140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over0c30,000$80 inLost-$808617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over0c26,011$124 inLost-$124.351,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over1c25,147$147 inLost-$146.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…30b6backed Over1c19,773$108 inLost-$107.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a2…b64ebacked Over1c19,648$129 inLost-$129.222536%9 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5f…43dabacked Over0c10,000$20 inLost-$204420.5%9 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+336.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdd…d2b5backed Over0c10,000$20 inLost-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over0c8,438$34 inLost-$33.752425%6 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4911…5a6cbacked Over1c8,365$50 inLost-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-73.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over0c6,987$24 inLost-$23.7775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc316…31abbacked Over0c6,847$30 inLost-$301428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over0c5,995$24 inLost-$23.9824917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba0…89b2backed Over0c5,511$19 inLost-$18.6480%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over1c5,281$33 inLost-$32.971,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over0c5,180$23 inLost-$22.551,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over0c5,051$17 inLost-$17.51,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e0a…db34backed Over1c4,174$25 inLost-$254822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa265…bd3ebacked Over0c3,670$12 inLost-$1230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Over0c3,528$16 inLost-$16.2133221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd9…3283backed Over0c3,467$14 inLost-$14.1540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over0c3,356$11 inLost-$11.433,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…7e8fbacked Over1c1,922$12 inLost-$11.5360%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over1c1,765$10 inLost-$1033544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2242…b319backed Over1c1,258$10 inLost-$10.18862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick31cpaid+50.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.