Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aef2c7978419040fb4803d5b7653f7bc788ddc416bff1088c126dcea3c703c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $876,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $889,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $876,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked No | 61c | 31,105$18,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,212.99 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.83 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 76c | 24,333$18,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,957.1 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 50c | 23,500$11,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,819.94 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 22,364$6,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,368.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…21ccbacked Yes | 44c | 20,000$8,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,737.64 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…e1bebacked Yes | 20c | 19,695$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Yes | 44c | 18,180$7,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.2 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 17,709$13,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.8 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed No | 56c | 15,944$8,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,015.27 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 76c | 15,898$12,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.93 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed No | 56c | 15,172$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,712.51 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Yes | 64c | 14,057$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed No | 59c | 11,641$6,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.09 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +14.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Yes | 64c | 10,000$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,398.68 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 67c | 9,826$6,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.78 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 10c | 9,178$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.06 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes | 66c | 9,143$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.55 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 8,186$6,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.27 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 42c | 6,359$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.48 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 6,310$4,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.39 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Yes | 34c | 6,225$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 77c | 6,216$4,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.79 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Yes | 21c | 6,000$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.85 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 43c | 5,677$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.33 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 80c | 5,600$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked No | 38c | 5,108$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.89 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…5336backed Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.53 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 37c | 4,917$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.81 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77dc…fb03backed Yes | 51c | 4,848$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cd…e10fbacked Yes | 12c | 4,785$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.01 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…de7fbacked Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…e58fbacked No | 41c | 4,706$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.69 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe48…2ac2backed Yes | 18c | 4,683$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.08 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked No | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.95 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…4701backed Yes | 45c | 4,406$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Yes | 41c | 4,362$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.61 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 38c | 4,170$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Yes | 20c | 4,103$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…d66ebacked Yes | 50c | 4,088$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.36 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…ba70backed Yes | 59c | 4,069$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 58c | 4,044$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.67 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed No | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 74c | 3,896$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.84 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf6…9105backed Yes | 24c | 3,895$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 29c | 3,609$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.42 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed No | 43c | 3,585$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.41 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Yes | 19c | 3,489$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 10c | 3,400$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 40c | 3,307$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.77 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…eb12backed No | 76c | 3,189$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,139$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.79 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7a…caf2backed Yes | 19c | 3,114$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed No | 59c | 3,102$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.45 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…8591backed Yes | 42c | 3,082$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…3ab4backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.48 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 67c | 3,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.97 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed Yes | 34c | 2,929$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.22 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…08cebacked Yes | 14c | 2,886$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Yes | 21c | 2,786$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.36 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5072…17bebacked Yes | 43c | 2,762$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.77 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 11c | 2,750$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…060bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes | 19c | 2,588$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…a0b1backed No | 51c | 2,579$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.14 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 59c | 2,534$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.69 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…1117backed Yes | 24c | 2,454$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ef…4703backed Yes | 12c | 2,439$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 78c | 2,422$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.83 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,416$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.75 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…8721backed Yes | 13c | 2,383$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +54%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f21…68fbbacked Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked No | 57c | 2,361$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.2 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…2e6bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,283$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.37 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…d5aabacked Yes | 22c | 2,274$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 18c | 2,270$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.99 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 65c | 2,252$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.19 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…9e71backed No | 59c | 2,224$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 40c | 2,218$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.15 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22e…074bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,210$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.31 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 54c | 2,192$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.58 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…a83fbacked No | 60c | 2,141$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 51c | 2,118$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.84 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 17c | 2,104$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.33 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Yes | 46c | 2,088$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.51 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 17c | 2,022$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.41 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa90e…dc01backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…5a20backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1c…f271backed Yes | 63c | 1,895$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…7ff7backed Yes | 20c | 1,891$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…cad8backed Yes | 25c | 1,868$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…2703backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 18c | 1,793$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.74 | 200 | 36%72 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…f9f9backed Yes | 21c | 1,736$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…8d82backed No | 60c | 1,735$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.21 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…89d4backed No | 58c | 1,713$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.04 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed No | 56c | 1,700$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?this page
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.