Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2eb95f51ecc57dcafacb4d511f9eda566bc487792a695c86a6367e5970a2af5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $491,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $506,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $491,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b16…9281backed Over | 10c | 180,786$18,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,929.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47d…2c4abacked Over | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Over | 9c | 11,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…4aa3backed Over | 9c | 5,255$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.94 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 4,672$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…23ccbacked Over | 9c | 4,186$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…addbbacked Over | 10c | 3,704$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Over | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 9c | 2,000$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.28 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Over | 8c | 1,575$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 4c | 1,566$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…8473backed Over | 2c | 1,358$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 9c | 1,350$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Over | 8c | 1,216$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4737…a54abacked Over | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e81…258dbacked Over | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…d9edbacked Over | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…ca10backed Over | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…2eb3backed Over | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1083…42f1backed Over | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…2617backed Over | 4c | 900$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 9c | 888.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70f…ed45backed Over | 2c | 799.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 7c | 499.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…8ecebacked Over | 9c | 411$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…c159backed Over | 9c | 379.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…2c34backed Over | 9c | 344.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Over | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…bdedbacked Over | 9c | 263.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 9c | 233.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948e…44d1backed Over | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 9c | 211.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 23.1%28 W · 93 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533b…0a9ebacked Over | 9c | 194$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 232 | 27.6%64 W · 168 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a5…f089backed Over | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 52 | 13.5%7 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd08d…eeedbacked Over | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf554…4af2backed Over | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…4ee4backed Over | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a90…bdffbacked Over | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…03cbbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.