TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73c0…4aa3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.02
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.94
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.65
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$573.01
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.79
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$580.92
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.39
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$871.89
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.34
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+963.8%+$2,649.95
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.43
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$613.85
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$78.4
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.67
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,484.9
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.99
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.57
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.36
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.99
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+946.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick20cpaid+235%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+108%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.75
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$1,772.73
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$78.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockxbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.93
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.