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Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Over37c104,322$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over35c25,356$8,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,997.62,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under62c21,085$13,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,012.4974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under63c20,000$12,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,299.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under65c17,299$11,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,054.5374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c12,148$7,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,314.13,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under63c10,500$6,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,834.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80037959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under63c10,000$6,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6801,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Under66c8,698$5,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.165843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over24c6,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.9945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under66c5,624$3,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.0677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under64c5,447$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.461,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under64c5,051$3,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.622,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Over36c4,167$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over20c4,096$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.7751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e48…1ceebacked Over34c3,891$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3231136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under64c3,848$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.168348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c3,501$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Under65c2,488$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.688758.6%51 W · 36 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under63c2,222$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.1434249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under63c2,073$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.2437850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.995330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Over44c1,945$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under64c1,894$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.8318850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over32c1,696$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.346550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under64c1,472$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9226454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under63c1,400$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under64c1,377$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.963,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over36c1,366$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.762,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Under72c1,365$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.083158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over30c1,300$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over28c1,260$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.914,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c18…39e7backed Over21c1,234$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under59c1,199$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.1213727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under67c1,194$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.0237650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under52c1,183$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.2534122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Under65c1,120$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39210152.5%53 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over34c1,089$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over35c1,076$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.6932922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over35c1,070$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.8958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over34c1,029$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0164443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under66c1,000$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33852455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea44…7e91backed Over36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3608941.6%37 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Over35c997.14$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3491421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over22c879.52$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.681,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under64c876.25$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.573,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under66c841.65$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.312,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over36c805.56$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under63c760.19$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.6735451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under68c735.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6614659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…f58fbacked Over29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under58c623.53$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6930642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Under75c606.67$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6715747.1%74 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over27c604.71$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.232,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22239050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22238451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over34c588.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under65c582.22$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.021,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under64c550$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19845038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under65c540.16$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over32c530$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.316152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Over37c527.89$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.326830.9%21 W · 47 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under63c526$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.624,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under65c503.55$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5321046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c6…276abacked Under65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1758934.8%31 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over31c496.39$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6221641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over7c459.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6634924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over31c458.25$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.731,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under59c427.3$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.182,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under67c407.32$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.381,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14835352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a77…8b53backed Under72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14840848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14839951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14837051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14420149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6427028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under78c353.69$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.541,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over20c338.42$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.272,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under64c336.89$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under63c312$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4437452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under63c311.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4334851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Over36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c38…e679backed Over36c298.83$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.589325.8%24 W · 69 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec12…fd9dbacked Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015519.4%30 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.