Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa6ad49231dbf3a70909f888736c3f117aa0d2c48f6196b098661cc9308869d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Over | 63c | 15,206$9,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,568.59 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 37c | 10,825$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,819.7 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 6,083$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 4,799$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.03 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over | 64c | 4,480$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.22 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Over | 52c | 3,068$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.52 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.78 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 2,311$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.29 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe002…152bbacked Over | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 39c | 1,159$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.99 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7940…47e7backed Under | 38c | 599.91$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.95 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 511.89$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Over | 62c | 291.89$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.97 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 63c | 280.46$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.69 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 61c | 228.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 39c | 165.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0519…3b47backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 48c | 149.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 39c | 136.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 61c | 128.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Over | 54c | 110.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a25…2898backed Under | 37c | 107$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 61c | 105$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 38c | 89.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…4a2cbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc748…93e4backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…7465backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 39c | 78.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…cf0abacked Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 150 | 36%54 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Over | 62c | 51.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Over | 41c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…cc39backed Over | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Over | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 296 | 39.9%118 W · 178 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…c6cabacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…43f8backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 60c | 31.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…9e6fbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 56.9%78 W · 59 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…9c50backed Over | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…01abbacked Over | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed Under | 39c | 26.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7b…2564backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…69f5backed Over | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6c…8738backed Over | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fda…e173backed Over | 62c | 22.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5Under won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.