TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,432,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,411,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,432,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 764 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Under22c296,894$65,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,190.9333538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Over78c220,699$172,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172,145.293458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under27c193,640$52,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,553.5625038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Over78c131,693$103,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,283.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under63c124,840$78,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,763.432,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c91,056$55,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,640.123,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over36c59,389$21,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,640.951,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under23c51,994$11,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,257.393,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Over77c38,961$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over38c36,560$13,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,754.381,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c32,500$15,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,936.934,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Under50c31,692$15,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,856.653246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over78c29,942$23,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,337.51,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Over42c28,888$12,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,132.951533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00014045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over37c17,416$6,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,444.0342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over68c16,036$10,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,928.135841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over22c11,928$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.5134845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8009650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under21c10,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,899.911,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under32c9,750$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,63029740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under21c8,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,32036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under22c7,954$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,204.121,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Over78c7,625$5,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,947.284654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a881backed Over78c6,410$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6261…2e11backed Under68c5,588$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.241376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under33c5,507$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,694.7321333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under21c5,408$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.751,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c5,185$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29051514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under50c5,090$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.6931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over79c5,063$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0008672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ff…5dedbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over77c5,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.953557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over70c4,999$3,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,48438333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c4,955$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.091,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under32c4,796$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,261.5374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2697…0b15backed Under43c4,614$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+154.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c4,445$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.598,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under21c4,193$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,312.531,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over65c4,006$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.916750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Under52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1517751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under21c3,788$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.5218850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c3,631$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.372,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Over50c3,301$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.698627.9%24 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over29c3,300$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.9937451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fa…aeecbacked Over65c3,300$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.284027.5%11 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under79c3,293$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.2512846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under21c3,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52837850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked Over16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004112.2%5 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under51c3,124$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.1744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over78c3,077$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40010261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under37c3,052$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.7617550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under21c3,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,37023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under21c2,944$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.7626454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under21c2,800$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,21238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over49c2,800$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37259230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over75c2,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c9…1e01backed Over79c2,658$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1005168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Over49c2,595$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.555543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over47c2,562$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.2621641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over79c2,532$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over77c2,500$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under43c2,498$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.0318548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over50c2,470$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2356246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Over53c2,450$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.9944524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over50c2,416$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.9112241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under42c2,402$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.52,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under21c2,400$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89635251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under21c2,380$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over31c2,273$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.5531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under35c2,263$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.0969534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x807a…8bdbbacked Over50c2,200$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Under23c2,174$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.914820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over50c2,138$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.111963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Over51c2,096$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.152832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+86.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9608748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over11c1,999$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1634924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under68c1,972$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over55c1,899$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.463920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over73c1,871$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.1598134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90016050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under22c1,785$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.472,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Over10c1,776$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.66624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over45c1,775$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.9510050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over67c1,735$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.0243230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under51c1,667$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.6713742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under22c1,664$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.921,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over12c1,623$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.748530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under22c1,594$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over50c1,572$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78621747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over36c1,563$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.525339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5a…109dbacked Under51c1,560$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over34c1,554$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.367930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.