TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb47…3502

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
492
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT44524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 445 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,495.72
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$233.33
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+525%+$160.65
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 1 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.11
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.44
Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 0 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 1 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.57
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 2 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 1 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.49
Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 2 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.82
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$108.79
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$130.62
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,641.13
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.89
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.71
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.03
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.78
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$751.72
Showing 25 of 445 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MOUZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.56
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.94
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,088.95
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$85.39
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,081Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$556.79
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)backed BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.53
Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+1.5)backed Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$240.29
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.56
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.28
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,649Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+140.3%+$2,313.86
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,217.26
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.65
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.2
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.59
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.99
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$160.05
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$63.06
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$114.29
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$124.93
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.62
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.78
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$132.34
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$234.62
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$65.04
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$205.19
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$57.28
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: J.J. Wolf vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$254.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.