CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c135db7b77cc830e908088df95a06b0ef0b38c9d4e13eb828c7839d593381d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof BIG, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,962,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,872,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,962,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 725 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x633e…d305backed BIG | 33c | 199,987$66,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,333.35 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Spirit | 57c | 159,415$90,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,984.51 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BIG | 23c | 86,572$20,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,014.74 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Spirit | 77c | 57,543$44,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,321.32 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked BIG | 39c | 40,000$15,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,699.99 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed BIG | 30c | 35,917$10,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,737.73 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed BIG | 15c | 26,750$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.43 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked BIG | 37c | 25,000$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,250 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…9557backed BIG | 17c | 22,886$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed BIG | 40c | 21,905$8,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,762.08 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked BIG | 38c | 20,789$7,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,893.73 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed BIG | 26c | 20,198$5,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,171.23 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Spirit | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.99 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked Spirit | 72c | 19,757$14,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,570.37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit | 64c | 16,182$10,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,836.49 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Spirit | 72c | 15,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf177…5f6abacked Spirit | 63c | 14,301$9,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,291.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked BIG | 46c | 13,814$6,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,368.94 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Spirit | 57c | 12,115$6,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,209.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed BIG | 37c | 11,916$4,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.71 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed BIG | 24c | 11,495$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed BIG | 38c | 11,211$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.82 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Spirit | 74c | 10,800$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked BIG | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked BIG | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed BIG | 76c | 9,600$7,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,296 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked BIG | 34c | 9,057$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.12 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BIG | 12c | 8,698$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.43 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…5d1abacked Spirit | 64c | 8,601$5,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.27 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked BIG | 40c | 8,312$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Spirit | 61c | 8,156$4,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.42 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Spirit | 63c | 8,149$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.68 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Spirit | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Spirit | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.97 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed BIG | 29c | 7,561$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.88 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked BIG | 16c | 7,450$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked BIG | 16c | 7,307$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.1 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…1c7dbacked Spirit | 75c | 6,670$4,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.07 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…dd45backed BIG | 36c | 6,650$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…8d83backed Spirit | 66c | 6,380$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked BIG | 46c | 6,328$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.13 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BIG | 23c | 6,208$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.14 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BIG | 23c | 5,930$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.73 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Spirit | 61c | 5,904$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked BIG | 17c | 5,893$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.17 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit | 24c | 5,739$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.48 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Spirit | 63c | 5,658$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.35 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…ef79backed BIG | 29c | 5,637$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.52 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BIG | 33c | 5,223$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.79 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed BIG | 40c | 5,195$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed BIG | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Spirit | 50c | 4,848$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.76 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Spirit | 72c | 4,694$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.61 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…a1b2backed BIG | 33c | 4,500$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked BIG | 37c | 4,454$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.32 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed BIG | 40c | 4,115$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.55 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked BIG | 37c | 4,113$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.79 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…2051backed BIG | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Spirit | 60c | 3,941$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.19 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed BIG | 16c | 3,907$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.52 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Spirit | 76c | 3,904$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.68 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4299…10ccbacked BIG | 16c | 3,599$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Spirit | 60c | 3,596$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.39 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Spirit | 68c | 3,593$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.96 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked BIG | 23c | 3,552$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.05 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed BIG | 40c | 3,479$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.75 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed BIG | 37c | 3,448$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.44 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed BIG | 25c | 3,400$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…798fbacked Spirit | 61c | 3,352$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.29 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…0200backed BIG | 31c | 3,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked BIG | 25c | 3,253$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.75 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit | 73c | 3,242$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.04 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed BIG | 33c | 3,192$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.44 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 76c | 3,110$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.93 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked BIG | 40c | 3,069$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.6 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8e…9f6dbacked BIG | 9c | 3,045$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed BIG | 28c | 3,002$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.4 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Spirit | 75c | 3,000$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed BIG | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Spirit | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…c163backed BIG | 16c | 2,851$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed BIG | 20c | 2,792$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.8 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked BIG | 36c | 2,772$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Spirit | 56c | 2,622$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.88 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 55c | 2,449$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.05 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed BIG | 17c | 2,405$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Spirit | 61c | 2,390$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.98 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…73cbbacked BIG | 17c | 2,308$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed BIG | 19c | 2,299$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.2 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked BIG | 15c | 2,279$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.9 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed BIG | 23c | 2,248$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.04 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…cf12backed Spirit | 61c | 2,131$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed BIG | 24c | 2,100$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed BIG | 40c | 2,061$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.4 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked BIG | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Spirit | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked BIG | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 652 | 50.5%329 W · 323 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed BIG | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Spirit | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…1298backed Spirit | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)BIG won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)BIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.