TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5bbe…c65d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
358
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: F1, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 62 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT13315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$71.85
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$861.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$720.82
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+157.8%+$5,916.24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,886.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,968Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$1,031.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,125.47
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$810
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.66
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$754.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$570
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650.32
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$232.09
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+59%+$424.2
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,216.44
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$484.47
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,703Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$1,893.99
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$600.54
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$491.64
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,026.34
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$1,183.49
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT9338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$7,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,333.32
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$8,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,555.52
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,051.75
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+3,233.3%+$472.39
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.66
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.8
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.27
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.43
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$413.71
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$1,110.1
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35.84
Warriors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+1,328.6%+$2,530.53
Kings vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.22
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.28
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.2
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$345
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.62
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$421.59
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$616.36
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$243
Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.57
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$756.01
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+86%+$250.83
Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.28
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs Looking For Laburo - Map 1 Winnerbacked Looking For Laburo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Valorant: DRX vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$52.78
Valorant: DRX vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$175.93
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$425.22
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$644.92
Valorant: Team Secret vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$914Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$248.63
Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,696.33
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,981Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$3,530.95
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.24
Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ (BO5) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffsbacked REJECT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.11
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.94
Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 4 Winnerbacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+160.4%+$640.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.24
Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 3 Winnerbacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 2 Winnerbacked REJECT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.18
Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$384.01
Valorant: DRX vs Team Secret - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.54
Valorant: DRX vs Team Secret - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$205.92
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$32.8
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.68
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+87%+$993.31
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.83
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.94
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT293.4%1 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-89.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$659.99
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$870
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.77
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.29
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.11
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.01
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.05
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$33.33
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.21
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$222.22
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$333.33
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$302.73
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$33.98
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$555.55
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.11
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.11
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.13
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.11
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.30per pick17cpaid+109.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
F1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$5,760Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+655.6%+$37,766.07
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+378.2%+$1,577.63
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+657.1%+$715.12
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.19
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$189.96
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$140.92
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+316.7%+$146.02
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$34.46
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+217.1%+$1,255.45
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.17
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.06
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.24
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+107.9%+$413.32
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$159
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.95
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.32
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.65
Ducks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.98
Blackhawks vs. Lightningbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+376.2%+$85.49
Penguins vs. Sharksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$44.09
Devils vs. Flyersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$423.65
Kings vs. Predatorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$225
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$162
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+257.1%+$30.41
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-67.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.63
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.85
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$443.96
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.14
Pirates vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$146.4
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.31
Cardinals vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,743Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,743.28
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.45
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$666.66
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+629.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Smith vs. Mingyangbacked Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+160.1%+$47.85
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$57
Gane vs. Volkovbacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$56
Araujo vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$38
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $Mog be listed first on Binance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gladiator II gross more than $75m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$20.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Liberty win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mississippi State vs. Ole Missbacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$255.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.