TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Mavericks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$789,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$829,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $789,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pistons73c120,000$87,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,699.9151350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Pistons76c116,788$88,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,243.715646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Mavericks27c65,921$17,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,970.6236148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks31c61,088$19,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,107.8785742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Mavericks35c25,546$8,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,819.439733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Mavericks55c25,441$14,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,044.3414856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Mavericks27c24,155$6,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,632.920253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Mavericks27c20,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pistons73c20,000$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9934645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks31c17,415$5,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,396.471,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Pistons66c16,985$11,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,844.1347448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks0c16,080$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.082,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a0…96d2backed Mavericks5c15,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Pistons73c15,000$10,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,049.9816942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Mavericks27c14,879$4,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,042.77739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Mavericks49c14,484$7,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,072.6719249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Pistons72c14,262$10,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,990.742650%13 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Pistons72c12,602$9,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons59c12,207$7,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,033.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mavericks3c11,571$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3627041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Mavericks44c8,080$3,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,557.3448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Pistons60c7,500$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.053259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks28c7,352$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.961,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Mavericks24c7,198$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.436746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Mavericks28c7,143$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Pistons74c6,640$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.191070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Pistons77c6,397$4,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.9413950.4%70 W · 69 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks26c6,173$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.269,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pistons72c6,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Mavericks39c6,000$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,33012334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5224…0de8backed Mavericks60c5,881$3,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,515.655658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks3c5,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Mavericks28c4,725$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32311558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Pistons56c4,096$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.58251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Pistons74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Mavericks27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Mavericks38c3,975$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50023342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fdd…5feabacked Pistons51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.573243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Mavericks31c3,802$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.8512529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks36c3,740$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.632,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Pistons52c3,566$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.463933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pistons72c3,322$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.1195049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Pistons64c3,230$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.83540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Pistons71c3,049$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.215947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Mavericks27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81018047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Pistons58c2,815$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.0229458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons68c2,666$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.981,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Mavericks42c2,587$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.1166744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9015…de85backed Pistons41c2,566$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.813834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc172…47cbbacked Mavericks39c2,537$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Pistons53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17544337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…1accbacked Mavericks43c2,346$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks26c2,236$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.5846928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Mavericks28c2,143$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Pistons62c2,000$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.4610852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Mavericks27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5407339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c2…39edbacked Pistons57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86010635.8%38 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Mavericks26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.991,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22c…9050backed Pistons41c1,900$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.732050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Pistons58c1,756$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.2120034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Pistons78c1,671$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.299857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks36c1,669$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.892,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Pistons64c1,597$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.339652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ce…d08fbacked Pistons51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons60c1,508$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.381,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9599…3c20backed Mavericks1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206428.1%18 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Pistons72c1,468$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.4212160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Mavericks28c1,442$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015228.3%43 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x219d…db61backed Mavericks23c1,369$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Mavericks25c1,355$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.6647144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Mavericks26c1,300$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9924330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Mavericks40c1,260$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50434942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Pistons74c1,216$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.226448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Mavericks29c1,208$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.684843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks34c1,200$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.431,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bf…5761backed Mavericks5c1,170$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95dd…90ecbacked Mavericks27c1,164$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b2…a469backed Mavericks42c1,154$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.181471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Mavericks29c1,056$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2433735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks39c1,038$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.791,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Pistons67c1,026$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.438151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Mavericks29c1,021$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Pistons74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea0d…821cbacked Mavericks30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Mavericks38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x737e…8e9bbacked Pistons59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4103946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Pistons71c999.98$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9939958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Mavericks26c999$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.742835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba1…fb97backed Mavericks27c996.96$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Mavericks42c954.27$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.7936057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Pistons61c898$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.241764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks35c888.65$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.271,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Mavericks30c857.07$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1211242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Pistons53c843.6$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.5439051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Pistons60c831.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.4317044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mavericks28c792$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.811,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Mavericks28c706.95$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3726749.8%133 W · 134 L+17.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Pistons74c704.23$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.118452.7%97 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Mavericks27c700$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18951037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Mavericks26c699.99$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18261835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.