TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x744c…e37f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 60 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4035%14 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,074.55
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$764.01
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+558.6%+$3,299.35
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$204.32
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+135%+$2,024.51
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,247.19
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Norway vs. England: England O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$3,127.45
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$255
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+182%+$2,259
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.46
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$827.97
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+250.3%+$1,251.46
Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.56
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,415Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+218%+$3,085
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,736.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$1,914.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,766Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$2,864.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$5,760
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,875Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$8,720.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,212.37
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,618.29
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,447Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$6,679.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,591.92
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,753Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,753.4
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$913.22
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+181.4%+$906.9
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19,713Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$31,096.23
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14,699Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$3,701.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$2,660.72
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,846.15
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16,542Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$7,523.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$1,187.5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$1,579.02
All 20 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,643Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,457
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CD Riestra: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)backed CA Banfield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$235.71
Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+33%+$50.56
Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)backed CA Aldosivi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$204
CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$815.16
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.47
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+31%+$170.41
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35%+$84.04
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+45%+$1,350.87
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.4%+$784.14
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$303
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,813Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+131.8%+$3,706.32
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+151.1%+$3,777.96
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+39.6%+$395.84
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$120.52
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$288.17
Aleo airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+72.5%+$2,210.42
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$1,274.99
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$1,885.96
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$2,907.69
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.5%+$1,740.19
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,700
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,220
NBA Finals Game 2: Celtics vs. Mavericks backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2024, EDT+39.9%+$869.26
NBA Finals Game 1: Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$194.61
Indiana Pacers vs. Boston Celtics: Game 3backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2024, EDT+37.5%+$836.51
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,213Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,087
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Columbus Crew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,261Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$2,169.47
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+206.3%+$6,717.82
Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)backed Toronto FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$2,772.98
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,560
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$3,800
Blues vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$2,293.22
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$326.67
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+47.6%+$2,284.01
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,295Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$2,019.52
Red Wings vs. Sharksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$2,250
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,000
Lightning vs. Predatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$1,470.97
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$465
Yankees vs Royals Series Winnerbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+37%+$184.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,515
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,375
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,422Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$3,937.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$3,165.78
Will the New York Liberty win the 2024 WNBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$267.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$99.51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$252.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,197.23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32,227Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$12,368.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$314.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$1,019.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,166
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27%+$5,740
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.