NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b2b9419bdbd326bc59c87cfdca85f0bd57b3341bb66d0918d03431ecb5a5827
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $539,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Islanders | 34c | 171,429$57,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,642.89 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Islanders | 33c | 99,309$33,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,185.85 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Capitals | 66c | 70,124$46,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,273.81 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 45c | 60,000$26,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,989.15 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Capitals | 67c | 57,035$38,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,194.42 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Capitals | 67c | 56,520$37,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,868.4 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Islanders | 76c | 27,174$20,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,521.76 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Capitals | 66c | 18,760$12,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,381.48 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…4d2ebacked Capitals | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…d309backed Islanders | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 66c | 12,645$8,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,407.55 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Capitals | 66c | 10,710$7,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,082.59 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…b5e5backed Capitals | 67c | 10,315$6,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,870.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…f8f2backed Capitals | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2667…5cd6backed Islanders | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Islanders | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Islanders | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.93 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 34c | 9,248$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,068.65 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 34c | 8,894$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,891.88 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 66c | 8,055$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.29 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Capitals | 66c | 7,283$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.61 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Capitals | 67c | 7,206$4,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,828.02 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals | 66c | 6,933$4,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,581.65 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders | 33c | 6,094$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.31 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Capitals | 68c | 5,882$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Islanders | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.35 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Capitals | 67c | 5,676$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790.91 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Capitals | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Capitals | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.93 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Capitals | 67c | 4,500$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Islanders | 32c | 4,500$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.77 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 46c | 3,555$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.85 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Capitals | 65c | 3,308$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Capitals | 58c | 3,229$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.05 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked Capitals | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…d3bdbacked Islanders | 33c | 2,850$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Islanders | 40c | 2,417$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.2 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Capitals | 63c | 2,308$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.19 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Islanders | 33c | 2,275$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.25 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Capitals | 66c | 2,228$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.51 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Capitals | 66c | 2,191$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.33 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Capitals | 67c | 2,148$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -5.0wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Capitals | 70c | 2,103$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.64 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Islanders | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Capitals | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Islanders | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Capitals | 32c | 1,520$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.66 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc787…4702backed Capitals | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Islanders | 32c | 1,480$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Capitals | 66c | 1,424$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.22 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 1c | 1,291$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Capitals | 66c | 1,250$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.5 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Islanders | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Capitals | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Islanders | 35c | 1,142$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.3 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Capitals | 66c | 1,092$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.72 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 43c | 1,045$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Islanders | 35c | 1,005$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Capitals | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Islanders | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Capitals | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7684…4d2dbacked Capitals | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Capitals | 65c | 996.87$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.96 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6377…a709backed Capitals | 67c | 980.43$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4130backed Islanders | 34c | 980.43$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d96…7115backed Islanders | 33c | 980$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…8713backed Capitals | 67c | 957.89$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…dbc5backed Islanders | 34c | 957.89$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked Capitals | 67c | 900$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Capitals | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…4030backed Islanders | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7b…c0a4backed Capitals | 67c | 882$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Capitals | 67c | 852.83$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.4 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Islanders | 32c | 835.93$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.43 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Capitals | 66c | 806$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.96 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…39c0backed Islanders | 33c | 783.1$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…8272backed Capitals | 67c | 783$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Capitals | 67c | 767.15$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.99 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 66c | 759.98$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.13 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Islanders | 33c | 751.52$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.52 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Islanders | 79c | 743.77$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Capitals | 67c | 686.57$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Islanders | 48c | 679.42$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.75 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Islanders | 34c | 599.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Islanders | 33c | 584.85$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.85 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals | 65c | 576$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f9…58c0backed Capitals | 68c | 550$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Islanders | 79c | 510$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Capitals | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…b3a7backed Islanders | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Capitals | 67c | 480$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Capitals | 64c | 474.88$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.85 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Islanders | 51c | 473.67$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.15 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb3…b7febacked Capitals | 68c | 465.67$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…1922backed Islanders | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Capitals | 67c | 454.51$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…9466backed Capitals | 68c | 450$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Capitals | 65c | 409.98$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Capitals | 66c | 350$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Capitalsthis page
- Islanders vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.