TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96e1…50aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
236
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NHL, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 64 out of 100; worst Premier League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
NHL — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+86%+$2,918.14
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,291.01
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+103.1%+$20.34
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.11
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,345.92
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+52.4%+$436.5
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+29.1%+$15.33
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,616Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.9%+$2,142.15
Utah vs. Devilsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,358.62
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.01
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$105.88
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,808Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+89%+$4,277.53
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,458.9
Kraken vs. Sharksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+109.2%+$116.16
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$43.44
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,831.08
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+156.2%+$1,100.64
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+84.9%+$573.47
Oilers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+48.2%+$235.09
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,433Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+98.5%+$1,411.32
Panthers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,597Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37.1%+$2,447.33
Ducks vs. Islandersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$313.96
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+136.1%+$1,357.74
Blues vs. Canadiensbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+73.3%+$39.71
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$349.84
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST4055%22 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona State vs. Coloradobacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,510Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+30.4%+$1,677.35
BYU vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$261.95
Western Kentucky vs. LSUbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$275.22
California vs. Stanfordbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,450.66
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,643.52
Washington State vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51%+$8.17
Baylor vs. Arizonabacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,499.19
Minnesota vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,801Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37.5%+$2,926.18
Florida State vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,277Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+157.5%+$2,011.15
Boise State vs. San Diego Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$650
Utah State vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100.9%+$113.52
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+64%+$786.97
Utah vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Florida Gators vs. Ole Missbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Memphis vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+136.5%+$756.9
Iowa vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,056Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+90.6%+$3,672.83
Virginia vs. Dukebacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+63.4%+$174.28
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14,540.67
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+49.9%+$1,070.48
West Virginia vs. Arizona Statebacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$140.73
Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+39%+$504.51
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,662Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+189.5%+$14,517.79
South Florida vs. Navybacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$538.05
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,639Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+121.7%+$5,646.86
UNLV vs. Colorado Statebacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23,608Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.7%+$14,575.26
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST3748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14,253Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+26%+$3,702.48
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,569Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,569.49
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$7,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+278.4%+$20,600
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,753Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+57.6%+$1,585.02
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,302.82
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+221.8%+$1,041.13
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+212.5%+$1,287.26
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$5,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$5,661.39
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$476.77
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.6%+$3,007.02
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10,706.48
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,957.48
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$3,064.18
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+65.8%+$6,654.4
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,691Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+64.2%+$1,085.72
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+217%+$1,867.27
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,578.84
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$4,682.29
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$8,130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+70.9%+$5,760.06
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,426Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.4%+$1,211.54
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,938Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+46.9%+$1,378.96
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,085.35
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,037.88
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22,678Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+25.3%+$5,739.79
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17,205.34
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13,112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4,606.75
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9,500
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,176.61
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11,084Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+72.2%+$7,997.67
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,880.02
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+108%+$311.5
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$76.55
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,545Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$418.29
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.73
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+74.2%+$740.29
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,109Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+66%+$732.29
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,544.73
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,789Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+66.6%+$1,858.39
Padres vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22,705Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$8,193.96
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,935.73
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,220.47
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,142.09
Marlins vs. Metsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+140.1%+$446.09
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13,776Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$4,937.35
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.78
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,309.82
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$897.8
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.22
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,398Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+133.2%+$7,192.27
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,539Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+113.7%+$4,024.97
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14,599Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37.4%+$5,457.11
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$866Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$865.78
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10,516Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.5%+$3,526.98
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$3,580.54
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$159.74
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,030Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+67.7%+$2,051.86
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,696Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+26.9%+$456.63
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$4,058.5
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22,716Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+32.6%+$7,411.34
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,096.25
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,209.07
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,232Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+78.1%+$5,650.48
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13,532.49
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$4,325.19
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+369.9%+$2,171.7
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,952Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$2,348.61
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$77,245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+171.5%+$132,446.51
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$4,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,588.92
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,923.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State Broncos vs. USC Trojansbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+75%+$23.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.