TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,570,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,682,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,570,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 924 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Nets35c221,516$76,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,906.1254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers65c87,985$57,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,686.062,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Clippers59c70,131$41,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,753.5210459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Clippers67c53,362$35,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,609.498037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Clippers64c43,977$27,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,023.622453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers65c41,872$27,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,655.22,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Nets33c40,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,199.9959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nets5c37,712$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.021,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Nets1c34,347$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1264517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets35c31,338$10,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,922.513,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Clippers64c30,001$19,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,650.195253.8%28 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nets41c29,299$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets35c28,500$9,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,950.9461835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets13c28,498$3,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,633.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Nets37c26,000$9,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,489.9335235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Clippers66c25,395$16,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,634.291,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Nets41c22,220$9,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,110.1836741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nets37c22,035$8,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,130.462,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Nets0c20,500$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers64c20,204$12,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,241.081,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nets11c19,245$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.991,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c17,650$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.58820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers65c17,185$11,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,075.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe7a…abb7backed Nets0c16,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets12c15,287$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.944,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Clippers65c15,000$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,250.031,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers59c13,249$7,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,432.091,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Nets37c13,000$4,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,81021450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Clippers64c13,000$8,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,68017861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Nets37c12,500$4,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,62551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc49…ffd6backed Nets40c10,743$4,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,294.633250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Clippers65c10,502$6,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,675.5436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Nets35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Clippers65c9,757$6,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,430.2572450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Clippers66c9,106$6,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,096.0421446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Clippers65c8,787$5,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.4525753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets36c8,616$3,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.2874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets15c8,465$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.531,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Nets39c7,375$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.6448944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80f7…3d6abacked Nets40c7,262$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Clippers61c7,000$4,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7301,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Clippers62c6,773$4,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.9225546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Clippers67c6,716$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.4222458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets0c6,685$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets0c6,536$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.247211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Clippers60c6,535$3,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.9534654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nets39c6,507$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.731,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Clippers68c6,500$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Clippers64c6,394$4,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.8747856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets36c6,258$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.394,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Nets8c6,101$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets40c6,100$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Nets6c6,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Clippers64c6,000$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.9939349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Clippers67c5,996$4,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.7617646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Clippers65c5,658$3,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.1838148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Nets5c5,547$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.791034.9%5 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nets41c5,453$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.222,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nets36c5,359$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.332,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8400…9885backed Nets0c5,180$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers62c5,054$3,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.936,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Clippers67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65018045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Clippers67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets34c4,780$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.224,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed Nets33c4,606$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.0911142.3%47 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Nets41c4,312$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.1230845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Clippers65c4,211$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.732,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473a…d89dbacked Clippers63c3,985$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+164.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets17c3,923$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.292,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets3c3,688$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.081,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e8…ca0bbacked Nets15c3,600$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.614136.9%52 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Clippers63c3,573$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.9211452.6%60 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Nets41c3,500$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.8327247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers79c3,480$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.825,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Nets37c3,351$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6973…6db6backed Nets39c3,299$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.672638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Clippers64c3,284$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.7116657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Clippers63c3,269$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.231,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Nets36c3,147$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.4580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1101,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Clippers58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Nets35c3,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Clippers63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Nets39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.9931538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Clippers65c2,900$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01562351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Nets41c2,723$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.0120847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets38c2,710$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.5486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Clippers58c2,660$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.0630947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Nets12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008331.3%26 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Nets36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Nets36c2,326$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.2126247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Clippers66c2,293$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.641233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Nets12c2,247$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6329037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x220b…4659backed Nets5c2,175$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.652030%6 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed Nets2c2,160$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.110119.8%20 W · 81 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nets12c2,132$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.393,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x829d…61b6backed Nets1c2,082$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208428.6%24 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nets37c2,064$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.472,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.