NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9344a6a9fbc15d32d0133f4d5dc07728d11a83deba4058c531dbb2ebf4ed0ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 17,833$8,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,909.95 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 5,382$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.13 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 5,305$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.06 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.08 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,343$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 3,094$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Under | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 51c | 1,848$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.28 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 1,565$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.72 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 1,510$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.54 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 1,390$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 50c | 1,222$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.95 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,025$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.28 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 52c | 966.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.66 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 836.72$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.89 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 766$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.68 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 53c | 512.06$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.67 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 500$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 50c | 498$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Under | 48c | 385$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Under | 49c | 365.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 52c | 362.84$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.16 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 49c | 211.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 51c | 211.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 49c | 205.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…ff92backed Over | 49c | 128.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 128.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…0cccbacked Over | 50c | 82.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b2…5f92backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…700fbacked Over | 50c | 42.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.4wins | -0.34per pick | 55cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 48c | 40.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5701…e344backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 31.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…0100backed Under | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 214.5this page
- Clippers vs. NetsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.