NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a4dd7aa6183b8204a2a918a56256f46fa6cd5a7f7baea2e52c27c61ef6dbd42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Clippers | 52c | 50,000$25,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000.64 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Nets | 48c | 30,401$14,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,545.22 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Clippers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Clippers | 53c | 5,748$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.56 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Clippers | 51c | 5,000$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.67 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nets | 48c | 4,326$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.44 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nets | 47c | 4,009$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.44 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Clippers | 56c | 3,159$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.94 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nets | 48c | 3,072$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.1 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nets | 47c | 2,917$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.99 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 47c | 2,825$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets | 47c | 2,699$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.6 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Nets | 47c | 2,545$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.7 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nets | 49c | 2,296$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.92 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nets | 47c | 2,158$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.21 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Nets | 42c | 2,109$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.88 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nets | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nets | 54c | 1,844$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nets | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 42c | 1,298$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets | 51c | 1,105$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.55 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Nets | 49c | 986.82$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.61 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Clippers | 53c | 799.98$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.99 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 47c | 652.57$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 54c | 550.24$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nets | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nets | 44c | 499.98$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Nets | 47c | 418$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nets | 48c | 364$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Nets | 47c | 353.19$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Clippers | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d774backed Nets | 27c | 297.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Clippers | 45c | 292.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Nets | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Clippers | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nets | 48c | 246.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Nets | 46c | 215.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Clippers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Nets | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 51c | 166.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Clippers | 55c | 158$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Nets | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 47c | 144.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nets | 24c | 141.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 64c | 135.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Nets | 48c | 132.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Clippers | 54c | 112.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Clippers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Clippers | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Clippers | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Nets | 48c | 78.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Nets | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Clippers | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Clippers | 49c | 64.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Nets | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…88a3backed Nets | 42c | 47.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Clippers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Nets | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Nets | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed Nets | 49c | 39.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Clippers | 49c | 39.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Nets | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Nets | 32c | 37.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Nets | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Nets | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Nets | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Clippers | 49c | 30.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Nets | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Nets | 48c | 29.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Clippers | 60c | 26.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Nets | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Nets | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Nets | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Nets | 49c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Clippers | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Nets | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)this page
- Clippers vs. NetsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.