NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d97478ec82e21cb7455e2e80ee79db6a805615887a49c529e167ac650e5b102
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers | 48c | 86,642$41,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,328.61 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Nets | 52c | 36,179$18,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,813.16 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets | 53c | 23,386$12,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,289.77 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 52c | 8,848$4,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,632.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Nets | 52c | 5,760$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Nets | 53c | 4,392$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nets | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 42c | 2,557$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 54c | 2,400$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 3c | 1,678$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Nets | 52c | 1,231$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.85 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nets | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.5 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nets | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers | 43c | 791$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.62 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Nets | 27c | 683$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Nets | 57c | 550$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Clippers | 47c | 494.98$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.34 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Nets | 61c | 410$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 48c | 399.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.53 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Nets | 57c | 399.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nets | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nets | 8c | 249.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d774backed Nets | 21c | 233.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Nets | 53c | 218$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nets | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Clippers | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Nets | 6c | 168$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clippers | 71c | 132.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Nets | 27c | 116.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Nets | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Clippers | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nets | 36c | 91.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Nets | 27c | 91.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 57c | 78.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Nets | 63c | 73.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Nets | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Clippers | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Nets | 56c | 58.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Nets | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Nets | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Nets | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Clippers | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Nets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Nets | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Nets | 35c | 34.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Clippers | 74c | 33.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Nets | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…c435backed Clippers | 60c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)this page
- Clippers vs. NetsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.