TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8058…d023

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST7946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+127.3%+$112
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18,813.16
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16,247.32
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,592Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$2,208
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11,646.66
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4,600
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$8,868.6
Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$7,050
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,442Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+112.8%+$5,008.6
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,979Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+112.8%+$4,487.39
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+96.1%+$7,840
Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,589Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+122.2%+$3,164
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$8,405.01
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$6,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$6,850.16
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$8,640
Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$686
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$49.41
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,308Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$8,253.88
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,945Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$9,310.61
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,404.49
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$3,249.99
Wizards vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$703.2
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,689.6
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,239.93
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,418.63
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST5141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+284.6%+$116.92
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,576.08
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23,760Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$20,240
O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,944Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$2,717.76
TCU vs. BYUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$4,100
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14,315.48
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24,764Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+150%+$37,146
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-23.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+100%+$10
UTEP vs. Missouri Statebacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$9,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$9,979.68
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$8,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$8,203.36
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$3,138.36
Air Force vs. UConnbacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,776.41
South Carolina vs. Texas A&M: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,906Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+100%+$2,906
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$8,603Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+194.1%+$16,698.99
Eastern Michigan vs. Ball Statebacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,891Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$3,056.89
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$10,799.99
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$8,953.8
Northern Illinois vs. UMassbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,119.26
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,010Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$8,657.03
Ohio vs. Western Michigan: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,655Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$5,249.74
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$3,231.1
LSU vs. Alabamabacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$302.84
Spread: Virginia (-6.5)backed Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,491.04
Florida State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23,604Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$22,677.89
Houston vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10,151.28
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST3855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$3,269.01
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11,800
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11,000
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,934Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$1,937.77
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$4,800
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,104.27
Oilers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$4,800
Red Wings vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$5,400
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,786.98
Panthers vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$3,112.55
Sabres vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$6,300
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,536.41
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,689Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$7,387.26
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$4,547.85
Capitals vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,985Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+127.3%+$8,890.52
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10,639.68
Stars vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+127.3%+$8,400
Sabres vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$8,480
Capitals vs. Kingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+112.8%+$5,300
Stars vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$5,100
Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+108.3%+$5,200
Ducks vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$8,770.56
Jets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$8,000
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$7,598.43
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,780Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$6,784.66
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$7,950
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13,359Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+85.9%+$11,479.7
Bills vs. Jaguars: 1H Moneylinebacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$4,702.76
Spread: Texans (-14.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$5,473.97
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$9,216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$6,404.29
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32,832Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.9%+$10,482.4
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28,800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11,200
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47,849Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+112%+$53,586.93
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,564Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$4,442.22
Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,920Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$4,080
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10,514.86
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$5,014.07
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18,230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+147.9%+$26,970.82
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+104.1%+$10,200
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$11,400
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$27,695.13
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8,700
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10,250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4,605.26
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+150%+$12,000
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,173Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,927
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,734Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$5,734.01
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$5,796.62
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$4,419.84
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,538Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,734.11
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,225.42
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick38cpaid+57.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+172.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$7,299.98
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10,563Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.4%+$7,857.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,810Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+49.9%+$1,401.76
UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. Loder (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Naurdiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,286Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$1,052.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$299.65
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,647.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$2,900
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$11,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Villarreal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,806Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,956.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12,428Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$11,940.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$111.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$619.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.