NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07becfab338c4ce2345b1bb9c93af18ccdfb7fd99ade590750f554d583d687ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $630,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $630,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Kings | 53c | 206,352$109,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,014.15 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Kings | 53c | 182,042$96,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,482.44 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Capitals | 47c | 138,845$65,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,330.9 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Capitals | 47c | 102,826$48,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,497.99 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Kings | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 47c | 18,676$8,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,818.53 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Capitals | 47c | 16,000$7,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,480 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kings | 52c | 15,000$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,849.97 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Capitals | 47c | 14,442$6,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,654.12 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 47c | 14,367$6,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,584.73 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Capitals | 50c | 14,030$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,030.48 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 48c | 13,929$6,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,243.29 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Capitals | 48c | 13,203$6,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,865.41 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Kings | 53c | 12,832$6,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Kings | 52c | 10,633$5,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529.38 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Capitals | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Capitals | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Capitals | 47c | 10,000$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250.25 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Capitals | 47c | 8,510$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.3 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kings | 55c | 7,830$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.08 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Capitals | 47c | 7,790$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.06 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Capitals | 49c | 6,163$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.02 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Capitals | 47c | 5,513$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.4 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Capitals | 47c | 5,333$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.6 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Capitals | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kings | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.97 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Kings | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.94 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings | 4c | 3,454$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.67 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Capitals | 49c | 3,250$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.5 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 52c | 3,219$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.8 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Capitals | 48c | 2,852$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.04 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 47c | 2,759$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.31 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 1c | 2,666$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals | 47c | 2,563$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.72 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 48c | 2,046$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.53 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 47c | 2,015$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.74 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…d919backed Capitals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 47c | 2,000$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.55 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…a1e7backed Kings | 51c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Capitals | 48c | 1,999$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.48 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.01 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Capitals | 47c | 1,921$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.72 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Capitals | 52c | 1,665$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.68 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 80c | 1,655$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.05 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 51c | 1,640$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.39 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…3d88backed Kings | 52c | 1,613$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.73 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Capitals | 49c | 1,592$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.84 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Capitals | 46c | 1,442$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0b…9f87backed Capitals | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…67f6backed Kings | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kings | 47c | 1,360$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.12 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 53c | 1,328$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.71 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Capitals | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.99 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Capitals | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Capitals | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Kings | 52c | 1,230$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.1 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Capitals | 48c | 1,210$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.2 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Capitals | 48c | 1,168$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.72 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Capitals | 49c | 1,100$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.55 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 47c | 1,042$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.26 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…90f6backed Capitals | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Capitals | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Capitals | 48c | 1,039$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.12 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Capitals | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kings | 33c | 1,006$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.95 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a3…4d71backed Kings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc7…cdf9backed Capitals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 48c | 937$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.24 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Capitals | 48c | 920.18$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.49 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 51c | 739$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.89 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Capitals | 47c | 727.69$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.68 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 48c | 726.57$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.19 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…2ccbbacked Capitals | 50c | 701.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Kings | 39c | 700$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Kings | 45c | 663.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Capitals | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 39c | 616.46$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.35 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 45c | 596.98$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.84 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kings | 39c | 564.17$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.9 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 47c | 550.87$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.18 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Capitals | 48c | 533.33$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.33 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Capitals | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Capitals | 47c | 510$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Kings | 5c | 509.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Capitals | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Kings | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…9c98backed Kings | 51c | 499.95$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Capitals | 68c | 499.17$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Capitals | 48c | 489.58$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.58 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Capitals | 47c | 467.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.56 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Kings | 43c | 466.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…6a2bbacked Capitals | 48c | 455$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…1505backed Kings | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…8fbabacked Kings | 53c | 445$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Kingsthis page
- Capitals vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.