TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe948…ff23

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
639
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 63 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST29651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 296 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,764.3
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,560
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,649.89
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,960
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,761Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+76.5%+$1,348.2
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,960
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,239.98
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+163.2%+$2,479.9
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,880
Capitals vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$99.64
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,800
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,880
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$2,079.98
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,119.99
Panthers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$900
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,880
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,649.99
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,199.99
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,800
Stars vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,621Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+90.7%+$2,378.58
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,530
Jets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,200
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+117.4%+$2,160
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$1,830
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,599.99
Showing 25 of 296 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT17250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 172 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$208.24
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,240
Lakers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,077.01
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$3,839.99
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,960
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,200
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$2,080
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,759.99
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,600
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,600
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,960
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$1,700
Suns vs. Netsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$260
Spread: Suns (-9.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$3,000
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,528Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.3%+$1,471.72
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,320
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+376.2%+$7,899.97
Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,958Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,842
Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,104
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,720Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$2,280
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,080
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$1,800
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,200
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,720
Showing 25 of 172 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST5466.7%36 W · 18 L+8.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,530
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+91.5%+$1,227.97
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,968
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-10.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$762.12
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$980
Boise State Broncos vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$401.18
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-15.5)backed Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,060
Akron Zips vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$2,864.93
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$1,500
Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-3.5)backed Montana State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,842Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.9%+$1,508.36
Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-2.5)backed Montana State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$58.29
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$506
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-1.5)backed George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,915Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$2,484.51
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+78%+$2,630
Spread: Cornell Big Red (-2.5)backed Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,470.22
Washington State Cougars vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$409.26
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$397.57
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,470
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,080
Spread: Columbia Lions (-3.5)backed Brown Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,348Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100.3%+$1,351.92
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-10.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,759Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,759.06
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$402.39
Auburn Tigers vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,040
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,080
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST5352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$7,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$7,100
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$4,200
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$3,120
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$5,660.93
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+36%+$3,439.99
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$4,600
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$3,260
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,533Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$2,454.95
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,299.99
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,590
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$3,120
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$5,520
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,639.81
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$5,349.99
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,960
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$6,720
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,940
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$5,760
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$7,000
1H Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,120
Spread: Jaguars (-12.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$940
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,840
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,040
Spread: Bengals (-7.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$2,160
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3060%18 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$3,680
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$2,250
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$3,119.97
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$2,080
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,730
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$3,120
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,773.58
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+102.8%+$4,471.96
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,404Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.9%+$982.9
Spread: Oregon (-2.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,120
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+150%+$3,000
Spread: Fresno State (-5.5)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,039.99
Spread: Army (-8.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,530
Spread: Minnesota (-1.5)backed New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$2,482.19
O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,469.98
Spread: Northwestern (-10.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$2,940
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+100%+$2,500
O/U 66.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+88.7%+$811.42
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Missbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+163.2%+$616.28
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Northwestern vs. Illinois: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,714Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,519.96
O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$319.67
Toledo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+194.1%+$3,300
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,319.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+179.3%+$1,605
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,070
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,859.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+163.2%+$2,480
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$1,640
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$281.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$840
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Partizanbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$750
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,679.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$960
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$189.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,080
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duncan vs. Tuliobacked Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.