NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc86d40dc55d8e604b203b9822fa8f8d4e2939c60bb78e60d76b242acc8ca84d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 48c | 33,901$16,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,272.72 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 52c | 33,893$17,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,472.31 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 14,660$7,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,403.94 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 49c | 14,232$6,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,253.51 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 12,151$5,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,258.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 8,881$4,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,347.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 52c | 7,035$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.37 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 51c | 5,800$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 5,090$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.62 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…0c58backed Under | 49c | 5,026$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Over | 52c | 4,600$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 52c | 4,593$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.64 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 47c | 4,468$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.09 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 51c | 4,309$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.63 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 4,227$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.35 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Under | 47c | 4,158$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.74 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…4b26backed Over | 49c | 3,130$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…e37bbacked Over | 49c | 2,770$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 49c | 1,965$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 49c | 1,631$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.18 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…7c27backed Under | 51c | 1,610$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…600cbacked Under | 51c | 1,520$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054f…3814backed Under | 51c | 1,430$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb687…54ebbacked Over | 49c | 1,396$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…0becbacked Under | 51c | 1,385$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…616fbacked Over | 49c | 1,374$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 1,372$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.83 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef7…46c1backed Under | 51c | 1,370$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa788…9d0ebacked Under | 51c | 1,367$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb56…cbabbacked Over | 49c | 1,354$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54dd…e5c0backed Under | 51c | 1,354$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…eefebacked Over | 49c | 1,352$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…3ee7backed Under | 51c | 1,340$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 5c | 842$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 52c | 807.69$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.69 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…e0adbacked Under | 49c | 797.84$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Under | 47c | 741$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.73 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 53c | 675.94$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.69 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Under | 47c | 558$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.74 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 536$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 452.64$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.85 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Under | 47c | 397$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 50c | 298.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Over | 48c | 288$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 274.02$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 264$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Under | 50c | 264$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 262$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 222.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Over | 52c | 214.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Under | 50c | 201.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…fe22backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under | 47c | 189$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 53c | 188.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 183.53$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 47c | 159$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 152$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 52c | 145.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 50c | 117.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 93.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 47c | 52.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 50.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Over | 54c | 47.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Under | 51c | 40.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 27.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 25.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…0ed3backed Under | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Pacers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.