TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xad0a…7898

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
262
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST7018.6%13 W · 57 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+104.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+1,001%+$136.97
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.33
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+1,900%+$475
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+1,771.6%+$662.6
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.45
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.73
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.31
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,100.6%+$252.04
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$29.21
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.64
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23.07
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15.66
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$39.91
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.81
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26.57
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+641.8%+$173.04
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT5637.5%21 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$210
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$75.13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30.66
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$22.96
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$59
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+257.1%+$108
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.98
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO1)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$54.4
Rockets vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$51.2
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$37.6
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$45.39
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$32.57
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$40
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$75
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$32.8
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.1
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$59
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$38.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$72
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.25
FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$37.6
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$38.4
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Girona FC vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$36.6
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+40.8%+$23.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$37.6
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+241.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$41.4
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.49
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$36.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$228
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$36.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$237
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.