TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes48c58,774$28,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,696.035352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No52c20,586$10,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,698.8635652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c9,924$5,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,160.292,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.386746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No48c9,354$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.7550644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed No52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6002181%17 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+97.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c3,762$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0694,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No52c2,968$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.382,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0405949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No67c2,000$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.9836462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No68c1,903$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.61,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No17c1,618$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.5614128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c1,576$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.72,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.8785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes31c1,111$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.8130666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31213662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31233057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No55c518$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.951847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26513641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No52c236.11$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.81,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No25c233$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No52c199.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.984843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No51c193.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8827750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.75851.7%30 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed No54c184.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No43c179.38$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked No53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No51c159.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7939651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes47c156.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.771,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes48c145.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8249544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9515257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1128531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No49c110$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.929343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No53c108$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2419357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No24c102.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.543241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5116453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes52c96.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3614252.1%74 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e35…0dd5backed No54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed No50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No59c85.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.77751.9%40 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No52c84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No52c84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No52c84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6837557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No35c78.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2829041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No51c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3646660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No52c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3237554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed No52c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No52c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3235157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45a6…475bbacked No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.237958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.27640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked No55c57.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.482544%11 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No53c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6812245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes49c53.92$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed No55c51.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.324656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2635056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2632357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No52c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8836259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes48c43.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.849650%48 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.829259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.812951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.89554.7%52 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed No49c39.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.58444%37 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked No52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.197758.4%45 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7625553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed No55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No52c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7227354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6826158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6830554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6825456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6826058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6828255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked No53c33.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.666440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No55c32.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.124323.3%10 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No51c32.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3389152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No52c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked No55c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.62825%7 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.636758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.632755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No57c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7920931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes51c25.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.623727%10 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked No52c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4814560%87 W · 58 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No52c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4833156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.