TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x555c…ee28

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
729
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT9752.6%51 W · 46 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$1,346.5
Will Lamine Yamal Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will a Goal be Scored During 16-30 Minute?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$850
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$312
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.4
Will the announcers say "Euro" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$29.88
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$255.15
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$256.2
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$259
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.1
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Messi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$251.99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$307.2
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$325.5
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT7410.8%8 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.29
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.18
Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$235
Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+900%+$180
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.91
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5851.7%30 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.85
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$343
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$100.44
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.75
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$347.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$206.27
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.75
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$306.79
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$400.13
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.83
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.09
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.3
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.28
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$200.25
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$200.38
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.04
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$232.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.3
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$333.33
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$289.1
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$200.16
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$339.2
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+53%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+247.2%+$71.2
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$100.05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$101
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?backed Ceasefire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$122.49
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.67
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,566.7%+$235
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$192
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+25%+$25
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT5158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$303.57
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$204.74
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$300.14
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$374
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$350
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.6
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.5
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.52
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.64
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$360.44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.5
Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.05
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$174.23
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.05
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.12
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.37
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$250.08
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$173.27
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$266.02
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$144.9
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$201.25
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4940.8%20 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Machac (+2.5)backed Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.9
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.17
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.33
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.81
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$197.76
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$149.99
Miami Open: Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.5
BNP Paribas Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50.46
BNP Paribas Open: Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.9
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$204
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$221.99
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35.1
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$160
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$60
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
Wuhan Tennis Open: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.2
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4850%24 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.51
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$73.5
Will there be a double Breen “Bang” during the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$25.77
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$418.5
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.4
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$210
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$310.17
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$246
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.35
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.5
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$294
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$144.9
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+54.6%+$79.5
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$69.09
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$53
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+122.2%+$95.5
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$105.57
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+185.7%+$42.89
Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$37.76
Will LeBron James be traded this offseason?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Martin Nowak out as Harvard professor by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$136.5
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$27.6
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$22.68
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$52.7
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+150%+$90
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$21.47
Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+900%+$108
Will Trump say "Tomahawk" or "Patriot" during announcement today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.1
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.49
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$30.26
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.93
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.3
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$270
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$114
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$348.3
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.67
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$200.38
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$265.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$295.21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$384.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$230.66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$157.5
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.1
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200.75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$78.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$64.8
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$60.06
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.02
Will Ousmane Dembélé score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$99
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.53
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.99
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Trump say "Stupid" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$60
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Ukraine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Trump x Putin talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$45
Nothing Ever Happens backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.04
Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.8
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.09
All 24 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$299.2
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$318.5
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.99
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$302.4
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Racing Club win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$325
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$378
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$30.59
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.55
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$356.87
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$341
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.05
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$316.61
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$280
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.85
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$271
Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$269.2
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$224.1
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42
Will Powell say "Collect" or "Collected" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.99
Will Powell say "Nothing" 3+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.99
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+334.8%+$153.99
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.86
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.6%+$57.88
Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+300%+$150
Will Powell say "Dissenter" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25%+$23
Will Powell say "Downbeat" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Powell say "Probability" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.99
Will Powell say "China" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.78
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$25.2
Will Jerome Powell say "Soft landing" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$19.5
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will Jerome Powell say "Recession" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$34.85
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 10 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.81
All 21 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.5
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.86
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$350.4
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.78
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$299
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.99
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$350
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$340.26
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$300.15
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$100.17
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.35
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$62.4
MLS: Will Sporting KC beat Colorado?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
MLS: Will New England beat Charlotte FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
MLS: Will Nashville SC beat Orlando City SC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.8
MLS: Will San Jose beat San Diego?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
MLS: Will Dallas beat Portland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.6
MLS: Will Inter Miami beat FC Cincinnati?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$42.99
MLS: Will Real Salt Lake beat FC Cincinnati?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$50.73
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+318.4%+$152.2
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$79
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$22.49
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$127.44
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.13
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+100%+$90
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.59
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+90.6%+$148.78
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.36
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$139.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.25
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$247.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$86.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$56.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$163
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$125
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.98
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$63.91
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.7
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+100%+$60
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AIlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+129.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+114.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Senatorsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$58.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+103%+$381.86
Spread: Valencia (-0.5)backed Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$203.99
BC Dubai vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$251.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$350.4
Will Atalanta beat Roma? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$71.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)backed Dundee FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$252
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.