Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b8576017cdfae1701823e1abdbc47a44305cd2f72e254915fd7679598d21c73

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Djokovicof Alcaraz, Djokovic
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $359,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $414,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,947 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Alcaraz	37c	85,354$31,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,439.14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Alcaraz	0c	59,883$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.88	127	40.2%51 W · 76 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c80…02c3backed Djokovic	66c	50,000$33,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,999.99	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Djokovic	63c	40,468$25,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,973.2	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Djokovic	65c	31,000$20,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,849.99	22	86.4%19 W · 3 L	+6.4wins	+0.29per pick	57cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Alcaraz	34c	26,989$9,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,176.32	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed Alcaraz	34c	20,000$6,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,799.99	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alcaraz	35c	6,244$2,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,185.51	158	32.9%52 W · 106 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Djokovic	64c	6,181$3,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,225.11	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Alcaraz	0c	5,910$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.66	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Djokovic	64c	5,395$3,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,942.33	150	48%72 W · 78 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Djokovic	71c	5,369$3,832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,537.16	226	41.6%94 W · 132 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3500…2e0bbacked Djokovic	65c	5,361$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,861.31	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6155…01a5backed Alcaraz	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-86.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alcaraz	34c	4,866$1,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,663.23	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Alcaraz	35c	4,280$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,497.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Alcaraz	35c	3,738$1,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,308.35	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Djokovic	63c	3,000$1,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,110	168	25%42 W · 126 L	-14.2wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Alcaraz	36c	2,734$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.77	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Alcaraz	34c	2,000$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685	4,076	39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L	+93.7wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Alcaraz	34c	1,924$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Djokovic	66c	1,825$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.59	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Alcaraz	32c	1,541$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.17	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Djokovic	80c	1,334$1,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.58	80	60%48 W · 32 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Alcaraz	34c	1,094$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.82	246	34.1%84 W · 162 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Djokovic	65c	1,012$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.06	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Djokovic	64c	1,000$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	279	44.1%123 W · 156 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Alcaraz	34c	935$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.9	185	48.1%89 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Alcaraz	34c	882.35$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Djokovic	68c	882.35$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.35	287	24.4%70 W · 217 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cea…f32abacked Alcaraz	36c	833.33$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Alcaraz	9c	816.99$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.53	134	35.1%47 W · 87 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Alcaraz	36c	810$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.6	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Djokovic	66c	804.83$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.64	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Djokovic	65c	785$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.16	951	40.1%381 W · 570 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Alcaraz	34c	735.29$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	600	53.8%323 W · 277 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Djokovic	65c	700$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	898	50.1%450 W · 448 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x867d…3f3bbacked Djokovic	67c	602.13$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.35	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.25per pick	46cpaid	+174.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Djokovic	66c	600$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Alcaraz	34c	590$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.6	317	53.6%170 W · 147 L	+17.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Alcaraz	36c	555.56$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	198	46%91 W · 107 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Alcaraz	36c	552.67$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.96	545	47.9%261 W · 284 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Djokovic	64c	532.77$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.8	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9416…5a15backed Djokovic	66c	525.49$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.49	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Djokovic	65c	512.31$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.31	94	25.5%24 W · 70 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa52f…8897backed Djokovic	67c	478.09$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.77	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Djokovic	66c	454.62$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.62	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Alcaraz	35c	452.04$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.06	248	46%114 W · 134 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Djokovic	67c	447.76$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.76	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3955…74cabacked Djokovic	65c	411.14$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.9	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+73.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Djokovic	66c	400$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a7…a2f0backed Alcaraz	14c	392.86$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Djokovic	66c	350.29$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.1	600	55.7%334 W · 266 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Alcaraz	35c	349.49$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.32	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86dd…98aabacked Djokovic	65c	338.46$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.46	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	46cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Alcaraz	34c	315$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.1	380	48.4%184 W · 196 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Djokovic	65c	307.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.69	76	44.7%34 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ab…3699backed Djokovic	67c	305.97$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.97	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf2…24d7backed Djokovic	66c	303.03$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.03	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+86.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Alcaraz	35c	283.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Alcaraz	36c	277.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	683	50.1%342 W · 341 L	-25.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9827…6c61backed Djokovic	65c	261.54$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.54	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Djokovic	67c	249.43$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.31	465	65.6%305 W · 160 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Alcaraz	36c	244.88$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.96	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf123…72e4backed Djokovic	66c	242.42$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.42	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Djokovic	65c	238.66$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.53	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Djokovic	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	285	43.5%124 W · 161 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Alcaraz	32c	200$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Djokovic	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	240	55%132 W · 108 L	-15.2wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbae5…654cbacked Djokovic	64c	200$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Alcaraz	37c	189.19$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1,414	41.1%581 W · 833 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…239ebacked Djokovic	68c	183.82$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.82	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+76%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Alcaraz	28c	168.24$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.09	314	34.4%108 W · 206 L	-25.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Djokovic	63c	160$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.2	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Djokovic	65c	151.62$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.07	418	46.2%193 W · 225 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Djokovic	79c	150.58$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.08	2,343	51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L	+95.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…c07cbacked Djokovic	65c	150.15$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f17…9ab3backed Djokovic	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	86	66.3%57 W · 29 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc419…5bb5backed Djokovic	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Djokovic	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Djokovic	67c	143.33$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.3	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+75%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Alcaraz	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	206	43.2%89 W · 117 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Djokovic	65c	123.08$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.08	37	75.7%28 W · 9 L	+8.4wins	+0.23per pick	53cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Djokovic	63c	122.79$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.43	291	46%134 W · 157 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bcc…de43backed Alcaraz	36c	120.89$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.52	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Alcaraz	9c	118.09$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	1,379	16.4%226 W · 1,153 L	-108.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48b7…63f1backed Alcaraz	32c	110.9$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…19c1backed Djokovic	66c	104.3$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.01	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+3.2wins	+0.45per pick	41cpaid	+215.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Alcaraz	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	220	39.1%86 W · 134 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f7f…2352backed Alcaraz	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-73%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Djokovic	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Alcaraz	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ad…4b7abacked Djokovic	65c	99.99$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Djokovic	65c	82.1$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.73	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Alcaraz	35c	80.56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	1,130	27.9%315 W · 815 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe575…8b12backed Alcaraz	35c	80.29$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Djokovic	64c	79$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.44	252	37.3%94 W · 158 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d43…fc99backed Djokovic	65c	76.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.92	32	71.9%23 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a18…91e2backed Djokovic	65c	76.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8d…262abacked Djokovic	64c	67.21$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)this page
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Under won
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicAlcaraz won
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs DjokovicDjokovic won
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)Alcaraz won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event