TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6277…eda7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
669
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT41846.2%193 W · 225 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 418 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.37
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Martin Landalucebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
HSBC Championships: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaurbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaurbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.42
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$82.82
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$43.55
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linettebacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$46.03
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilicbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaardbacked Thijs Boogaard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritzbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)backed Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertensbacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+67%+$67.02
Showing 25 of 418 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT7458.1%43 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$64.87
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$42.9
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.79
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$45.17
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT4961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$35.1
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$82.36
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.18
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.69
Spread: Norway (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.63
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.97
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Germany (-4.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Nigeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$37.42
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$42.64
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20.16
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$100.54
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$22
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.2
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.21
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Club Brugge KV (-1.5)backed Qairat FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Hellas Verona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$48.72
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$25.97
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$11.66
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.98
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$70.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+50%+$50.03
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.67
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+116.9%+$116.89
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$27.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.9%+$40.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$108.29
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+74.1%+$74.1
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+68.2%+$13.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.65
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Samford Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.