Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a3bc999b28f4e233a862abc6473dd4622e8c583c98e78e1611c533a631057a

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mexicoof Mexico, South Africa
Resolved: Jun 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,816,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,335,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,816,846 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6211…b89ebacked South Africa	60c	414,684$248,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248,810.28	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked South Africa	60c	194,443$116,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116,332.3	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed South Africa	60c	170,000$102,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102,000	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked South Africa	59c	169,998$100,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100,299.11	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Mexico	46c	145,936$66,991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78,945.39	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed South Africa	60c	130,000$78,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78,000	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Mexico	41c	128,049$52,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,548.78	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Mexico	41c	122,909$50,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72,908.79	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Mexico	40c	107,945$43,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64,766.95	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Mexico	40c	98,659$39,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,432.18	163	31.9%52 W · 111 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Mexico	40c	89,000$35,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,360	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed South Africa	59c	70,145$41,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,385.61	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Mexico	40c	53,524$21,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,114.15	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Mexico	41c	52,257$21,406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,850.71	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed South Africa	59c	50,461$29,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,772.09	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Mexico	40c	41,820$16,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,091.75	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Mexico	45c	40,773$18,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,254.32	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Mexico	40c	40,565$16,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,425.58	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Mexico	40c	30,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,000	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Mexico	40c	25,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,999.99	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed South Africa	45c	24,076$10,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,790.48	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed South Africa	59c	22,435$13,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,236.59	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed South Africa	63c	19,842$12,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,500	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Mexico	41c	18,135$7,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,764.73	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked South Africa	19c	15,176$2,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,958.16	120	36.7%44 W · 76 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Mexico	40c	14,800$5,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,879.95	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc56b…8012backed South Africa	60c	14,680$8,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,809.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Mexico	40c	14,470$5,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,682	122	55.7%68 W · 54 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Mexico	41c	13,869$5,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,193.59	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Mexico	41c	13,659$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,058.54	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed Mexico	41c	13,505$5,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,967.84	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Mexico	50c	12,500$6,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,250	107	34.6%37 W · 70 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5b…b940backed Mexico	53c	12,359$6,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,808.87	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4f8…4de0backed South Africa	60c	10,999$6,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,599.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	60cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Mexico	56c	10,169$5,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,474.58	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Mexico	40c	10,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,000	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Mexico	40c	10,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mexico	39c	10,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,099.87	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Mexico	40c	9,999$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,999.39	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed South Africa	61c	9,836$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed South Africa	60c	9,600$5,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,760	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Mexico	41c	9,308$3,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,498.9	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Mexico	40c	9,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,400	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Mexico	40c	8,938$3,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,362.93	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Mexico	40c	8,848$3,539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,308.85	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0769…3690backed Mexico	57c	8,615$4,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,704.62	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Mexico	40c	8,500$3,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,100	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed South Africa	44c	8,497$3,739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,738.6	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed South Africa	51c	8,064$4,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,112.4	143	49.7%71 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Mexico	40c	7,700$3,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,619.99	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed South Africa	59c	7,683$4,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,550.48	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed South Africa	60c	7,500$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	89	13.5%12 W · 77 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Mexico	51c	7,396$3,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,628.03	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed South Africa	45c	7,360$3,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,289.93	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed South Africa	59c	6,877$4,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,050.22	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Mexico	40c	6,876$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,125.6	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Mexico	41c	6,502$2,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,836.44	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Mexico	40c	6,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,600	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Mexico	40c	6,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,600	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7538…40f9backed South Africa	52c	5,769$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf9…5c67backed Mexico	41c	5,488$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,237.8	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Mexico	40c	5,431$2,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,258.64	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5da9…f4c3backed Mexico	41c	5,428$2,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,202.81	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2522…2d0fbacked Mexico	41c	5,308$2,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,131.72	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+93.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Mexico	39c	5,128$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,128.21	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed South Africa	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked Mexico	41c	5,000$2,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,950	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+6.3wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed South Africa	59c	5,000$2,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,950	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Mexico	39c	5,000$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,050	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Mexico	41c	4,878$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,878.05	200	53%106 W · 94 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed South Africa	60c	4,800$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,880	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed South Africa	48c	4,785$2,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,298.37	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0753…d174backed Mexico	40c	4,703$1,881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,821.82	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+74.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed South Africa	41c	4,602$1,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,870.59	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed South Africa	60c	4,436$2,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,661.87	465	36.1%168 W · 297 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed South Africa	60c	4,200$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,520	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Mexico	40c	3,923$1,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,345.44	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Mexico	40c	3,806$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,275.56	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Mexico	53c	3,795$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,795.2	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.17per pick	34cpaid	+41%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mexico	67c	3,734$2,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,224.17	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed South Africa	60c	3,600$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,160	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed South Africa	60c	3,531$2,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,118.6	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Mexico	50c	3,530$1,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,764.77	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x995e…13aebacked Mexico	40c	3,414$1,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,048.22	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Mexico	41c	3,387$1,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,998.25	82	50%41 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…dcf7backed Mexico	41c	3,349$1,373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,975.94	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9efc…cce5backed South Africa	60c	3,333$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	104	58.7%61 W · 43 L	+7.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed South Africa	17c	3,220$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.5	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed South Africa	43c	3,124$1,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,331.22	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Mexico	57c	3,121$1,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,341.82	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Mexico	76c	3,083$2,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$745.23	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Mexico	46c	3,077$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,657.8	110	65.5%72 W · 38 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Mexico	39c	3,000$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,830	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Mexico	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	23	13%3 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mexico	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed South Africa	52c	2,952$1,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,542.1	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Mexico	40c	2,796$1,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680.46	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed South Africa	39c	2,781$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,093.48	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed South Africa	53c	2,746$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455.72	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked South Africa	60c	2,639$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,574.55	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)this page
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)South Africa won
Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Mexico won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event