TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,260 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under33c2,000$650 inWon+$1,3503956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over68c2,000$1,350 inLost-$1,3501,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x638e…a81bbacked Over12c715.75$86 inLost-$85.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over11c711$78 inLost-$78.2146536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over8c675.8$54 inLost-$54.062,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8876…34c9backed Over9c514.93$49 inLost-$48.553718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over13c450$59 inLost-$58.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over12c450$54 inLost-$54.4619039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…7677backed Over12c421.24$50 inLost-$50.44425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x465a…c619backed Under45c210.34$95 inWon+$115.51060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf488…0c6dbacked Over12c208.33$25 inLost-$251855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost-$10017218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d4…059bbacked Over12c146.58$18 inLost-$17.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Over12c125$15 inLost-$156346%29 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over13c115.38$15 inLost-$1552441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over12c114$14 inLost-$13.588,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Over54c18.52$10 inLost-$1035619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.