TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$805,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$912,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $805,618 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 640 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c177,049$50,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,021.874,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over70c99,999$70,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,999.8115552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over69c77,674$53,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,467.11,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Under32c62,500$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0005523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over80c24,815$19,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,962.963571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under17c18,397$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.562,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Over70c18,232$12,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,429.383167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under32c17,475$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,549.5477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over70c16,975$11,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,131.2445428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under13c14,356$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.2214325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under30c11,875$3,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,580.4146536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under30c11,829$3,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,553.1248152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over72c8,925$6,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.054568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under30c8,871$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.6684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c7,547$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.961,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under1c7,140$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.415844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Over71c7,042$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.253470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under30c7,000$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.9947144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under4c6,993$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8436437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Under32c6,840$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.651625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over75c6,667$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.675442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under30c6,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under30c6,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9947643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c5,921$4,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.988,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under24c5,242$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.163,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45018837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under31c4,857$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.541,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under24c4,765$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.9726647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under23c4,669$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.9844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over70c4,563$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.12,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over69c4,500$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39511561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…dcf7backed Over70c4,286$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.711450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under13c4,233$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.572,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over72c4,167$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.6711851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under29c3,390$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Under33c3,046$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over70c2,900$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8708353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over70c2,714$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.2910949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under35c2,693$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.9913542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under35c2,571$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.0410942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under32c2,533$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.6928025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Under30c2,363$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.894327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over69c2,174$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.9131152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20646.3%4 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over78c1,999$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.8718465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Under1c1,800$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18200%0 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over72c1,792$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.6714866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over69c1,787$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.7530465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under16c1,787$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.742,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over70c1,762$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.6228258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under31c1,727$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.8868141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over69c1,697$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.072,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c1,680$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.341,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2837…f0dbbacked Under30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Over69c1,656$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.3110142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under31c1,546$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.563151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under26c1,528$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.881,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under30c1,521$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.872,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed Under7c1,476$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105747.4%27 W · 30 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5717339.3%68 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168d…015abacked Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under11c1,429$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9938819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…3d70backed Over71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.454242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under29c1,400$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.957338.4%28 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde77…efb5backed Over76c1,317$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.11666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48024058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under30c1,200$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under31c1,111$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.418543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under29c1,111$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.533443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Over71c1,091$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.3414130.5%43 W · 98 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Over72c1,042$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6719247.9%92 W · 100 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over68c1,030$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over69c1,004$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.118642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over69c1,002$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6914243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under20c1,001$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.62,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over69c1,000$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.51,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36012241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35011545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Under30c999.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.987445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over69c999.78$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.1764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Over79c995.6$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.67663.2%48 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Over79c989.25$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.65343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over70c987.79$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.191,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde05…1ababacked Over71c956.3$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.332755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over61c950.82$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.825959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under32c936.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under29c933.83$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.816043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under29c923.98$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.951,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under2c922.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2221722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4c…2961backed Under22c912.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over72c894.67$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.4187837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over71c836.79$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.677364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Over70c825.27$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5815240.8%62 W · 90 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over67c820.9$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.912141.3%50 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over68c798.44$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.51,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.