TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc19d…7204

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
376
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 59 out of 100; worst Asian League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT17339.3%68 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+427.4%+$1,495.95
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$625.93
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$459.49
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$374
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.96
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$245.78
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+191.9%+$137.35
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$334.62
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$27.22
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5831%18 W · 40 L-8.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-37.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Asian League — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Hazem SC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Cerezo Ōsaka 0 - 0 Fagiano Okayama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.89
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Pohang Steelers FC 0 - 0 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Pohang Steelers FC 1 - 1 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$53.47
FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$78.44
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$192.54
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.66
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$44.61
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+141.7%+$113.38
Will Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$31.62
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$364.54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$170
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$268.16
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.78
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$188.62
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.7%+$1,353.63
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.19
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.67
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.31
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$301.37
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$283.74
Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$157.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$177.27
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+261.2%+$261.23
West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$535.17
All 24 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+31.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+106%+$74.17
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$120.59
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+139.6%+$270.97
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$74.15
Will US Lecce win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+244.9%+$1,224.41
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will US Lecce vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.21
Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
All 17 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Alverca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Exact Score: Vålerenga Fotball 2 - 1 Hamarkameratene?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$200.15
Will AIK win on 2026-07-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
BK Hacken vs. AIK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+304.7%+$56.62
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.95
Will GAIS win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$194.6
GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$20.48
Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will FC Twente '65 vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
All 17 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Thun win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+46%+$91.99
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$140.06
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$189.47
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.91
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+255.4%+$1,915.78
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Will Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+84%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$135
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$242.73
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$734.48
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$175
Will Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$166.67
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,035Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+43.2%+$878.48
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$117.2
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$47.67
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$771.43
Will Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+298%+$685.38
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$771.43
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will 1. FC Magdeburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.