TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,384,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,470,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,384,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 609 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c339,923$97,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,209.594,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over70c339,247$236,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,416.4751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under16c48,376$7,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,547.43,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over73c45,699$33,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,228.373,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under30c40,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.9920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Under30c36,000$10,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,895.167447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under26c26,886$6,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,965.8414250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over72c26,169$18,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,366.248,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c22,561$6,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,773.981,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under32c22,134$7,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,148.2820731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over70c19,981$13,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,006.331,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under30c17,603$5,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,267.2571638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under34c17,362$5,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,893.2542541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over78c16,743$13,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,670.1837223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under31c14,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.9750243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over70c13,733$9,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,184.272,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under16c12,843$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.2730626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9520…3159backed Over79c11,526$9,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.911250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under31c11,500$3,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,532.548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under31c11,500$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,524.9847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Under15c11,340$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.995234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under31c11,000$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.9747144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under30c10,677$3,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.559150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Under30c10,239$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,097.386048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under28c9,386$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.9677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under25c9,251$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.391,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under30c8,729$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6251,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over74c8,510$6,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.562,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Under27c8,202$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.7810251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under31c8,163$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.6744144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under30c7,500$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2251,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under17c7,484$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.674,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over68c7,349$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.5116947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44da…e225backed Over69c7,000$4,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.53452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under31c6,518$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8358029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under30c6,000$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.9916258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over69c5,776$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.178672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x784b…2648backed Over70c5,741$4,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.561747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over69c5,533$3,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.3328258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa45f…4e8dbacked Under26c5,401$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.262846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Under25c5,236$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.7831945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under30c5,219$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Over70c5,017$3,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.0510752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under30c5,000$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.521140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under31c4,800$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.9947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under30c4,667$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.4310744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307b…3bd2backed Under31c4,401$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5165…872fbacked Over70c4,259$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Under24c3,616$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.4421738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over70c3,600$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.9931152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under16c3,448$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over70c3,353$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.279100%9 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae0b…5b5fbacked Over69c3,147$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.223145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f21…a5b1backed Over70c3,090$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.852075%15 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe075…a98cbacked Under33c3,066$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005341.5%22 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x897b…a2b7backed Over74c3,025$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.854344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2d…990cbacked Over67c2,994$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.0315054.7%82 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under10c2,974$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4533843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc117…7410backed Over69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.552334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Over69c2,888$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.0910059%59 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dee…bbbcbacked Over69c2,883$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.892751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c2,836$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.541,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae4…7084backed Over69c2,599$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.2813453%71 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under28c2,510$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.1622639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under30c2,500$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.263,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under7c2,467$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.631,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under30c2,393$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.0436031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under30c2,333$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70043635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1159…7c71backed Over70c2,327$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.651822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-70%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over70c2,299$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.2763544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…2839backed Over71c2,294$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.213852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Under1c2,211$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1110014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over69c2,200$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under18c2,181$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under20c2,068$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.6826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under18c2,021$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.4711637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Under30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over69c2,000$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61519529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under18c1,968$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.42,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Under31c1,941$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.654311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under29c1,865$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55047235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over72c1,852$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.0727032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under2c1,792$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.751,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over64c1,765$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.325339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under29c1,712$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.1536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x780a…84f0backed Over76c1,695$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.841776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under30c1,653$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9915048%72 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under30c1,629$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.511,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed Under31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016732.3%54 W · 113 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Under31c1,600$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Under22c1,544$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under31c1,528$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47013736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over78c1,527$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.544,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under13c1,523$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c1,519$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.843,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over71c1,517$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.8337944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Over61c1,469$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.3917462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over69c1,450$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.8819062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.