TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$699,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$732,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $699,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec44…c92bbacked Over27c106,740$29,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,0008521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over25c98,960$24,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,948.9214248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under75c96,973$72,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,243.3274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c87,010$61,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,585.024,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x631e…c145backed Over0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under56c15,765$8,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,934.4217642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over21c12,997$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.392,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over1c10,626$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2636250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over2c10,613$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.968032.5%26 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over1c10,101$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0134731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over25c9,896$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.9486455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac78…4317backed Over52c9,330$4,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,851.34812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-55.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over27c8,895$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.592,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over54c8,336$4,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,501.3964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00050850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c7,883$4,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5514,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under73c6,500$4,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under72c6,454$4,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.7837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under74c6,264$4,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.521,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under70c5,655$3,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.344,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c5,632$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.7651514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Under54c5,593$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.763754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63e3…f341backed Under76c5,263$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.168647.7%41 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over2c5,036$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1925125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over1c5,009$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0925244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30031152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under47c4,533$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.6216050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over46c4,416$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.0225339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under76c4,291$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.9244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c4,062$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Under73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.988243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under74c3,964$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.562,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over1c3,750$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under74c3,746$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.412,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a72…17c0backed Under76c3,632$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.81540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under57c3,222$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.9529740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over25c2,920$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over35c2,862$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.4736234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over40c2,841$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.2559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe002…152bbacked Over37c2,705$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over25c2,636$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.092,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under74c2,519$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.033,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Over42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under74c2,340$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.2597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over33c2,305$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.6127032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under74c2,150$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.171,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under60c2,015$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.8119649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54011755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Over1c1,999$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9911227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked Over52c1,843$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.392853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23a2…cbb0backed Over44c1,807$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Under74c1,748$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.512751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8731…2c12backed Over25c1,720$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4302334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…2839backed Over41c1,707$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7073852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under74c1,576$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.241,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under74c1,486$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.393,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Under74c1,315$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.9912341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over27c1,217$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over14c1,188$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under66c1,186$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.5325643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under48c1,115$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58423637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under47c1,056$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.632951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over10c1,049$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Under48c1,049$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51014450.7%73 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2607639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704427.3%12 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+119.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x825f…98f7backed Over6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under45c994$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.72524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over25c952$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2381520%3 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f2c…6998backed Under53c868.43$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.693135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Under74c840$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.414945%67 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under64c808.54$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.3925049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over20c774.3$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4817534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2d…990cbacked Over52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015054.7%82 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over1c760.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5335719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabea…72aebacked Over25c731.4$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.855740.4%23 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over50c731.39$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x411d…a0b1backed Over48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under62c727.02$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under44c705.54$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.899650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over9c701.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under72c694$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.322,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under72c694$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.322,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under72c694$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.323,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under73c661.11$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over31c643.23$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1671939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Over55c640.84$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over31c639.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under74c636.16$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3533438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9385…f3adbacked Under66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under62c600$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.1228164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.