Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x958cd134cb5605072f2debf8247cc6392ada817d41d215473296daef58ceea4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Argentinaof Switzerland, Argentina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb272…5030backed Switzerland | 4c | 25,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Switzerland | 5c | 12,768$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.96 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Switzerland | 1c | 10,267$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.79 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Switzerland | 4c | 9,999$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.97 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Switzerland | 3c | 9,601$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.71 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…8756backed Switzerland | 5c | 9,432$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed9…e1c6backed Switzerland | 5c | 8,749$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Switzerland | 4c | 7,300$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.25 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Switzerland | 4c | 4,793$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.87 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Switzerland | 4c | 4,723$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Switzerland | 2c | 3,702$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Switzerland | 5c | 3,645$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.13 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Switzerland | 4c | 3,567$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Switzerland | 4c | 3,462$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Switzerland | 4c | 2,718$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Switzerland | 4c | 2,222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ca…1e53backed Switzerland | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Switzerland | 4c | 1,951$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Switzerland | 4c | 1,779$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Switzerland | 4c | 1,504$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Switzerland | 4c | 1,396$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Switzerland | 4c | 1,292$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Switzerland | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Switzerland | 4c | 999.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked Switzerland | 4c | 999.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Switzerland | 5c | 991.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Switzerland | 4c | 931.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Switzerland | 4c | 888.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 17%16 W · 78 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Switzerland | 2c | 887.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Switzerland | 4c | 689.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Switzerland | 3c | 593.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Switzerland | 4c | 554$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Switzerland | 5c | 540$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Switzerland | 5c | 509.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…28e4backed Switzerland | 4c | 499.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Switzerland | 4c | 499.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Switzerland | 4c | 470.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0819backed Switzerland | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Switzerland | 5c | 430.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed Switzerland | 5c | 399.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Switzerland | 5c | 399.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Switzerland | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd33…4714backed Switzerland | 5c | 315.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…7a19backed Switzerland | 4c | 287.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Switzerland | 4c | 287.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4322…6e29backed Switzerland | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Switzerland | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Switzerland | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c2…e2d9backed Switzerland | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)this page
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.