TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,079,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,186,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,079,061 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 896 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes46c172,043$78,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,083.112,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked No55c129,108$70,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,773.6342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes45c112,520$50,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,885.7921343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed No54c99,999$54,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,999.642931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No54c79,116$42,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,722.848046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c64,548$30,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,269.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c62,172$32,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,812.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No55c46,372$25,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,504.628845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed No53c39,975$21,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,186.416053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa18d…9b51backed Yes45c38,365$17,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,100.682536%9 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes46c38,188$17,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,717.71,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed No54c33,333$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,999.745240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Yes46c28,465$13,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,371.228952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No2c22,162$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.942,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4eb…1a6ebacked Yes50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0004323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed No55c20,000$10,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,909.9110653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed No54c19,943$10,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,769.2217550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed No57c16,461$9,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,418.8810562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c16,015$8,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,126.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes45c14,682$6,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,100.212,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No51c9,914$5,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,029.486455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No55c8,497$4,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,641.352,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes46c6,522$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.745236.5%19 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No55c6,500$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5751,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes46c5,819$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.1979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No55c5,455$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.1622451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8735…db43backed No55c5,455$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Yes46c5,435$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.786154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked No55c5,350$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.732828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes45c5,174$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,845.718027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes51c5,141$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,525.582,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.9821937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.9822342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No54c4,999$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.5321140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No54c4,698$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.7997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c4,649$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.331,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No56c4,464$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50011963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.4419150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes45c4,440$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4429349.5%46 W · 47 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdfe8…67d4backed No55c4,402$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.310230.4%31 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes47c4,242$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.5218343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20c0…22b4backed Yes50c4,184$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.913036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No43c4,074$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.383,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Yes46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1604940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No52c3,999$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.2721738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No54c3,818$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.3926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.971,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No55c3,669$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.1770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x207e…7683backed No55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002060%12 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+51.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No52c3,498$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.381,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd31d…3d13backed Yes46c3,478$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.266741.8%28 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked No48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90b6…841cbacked Yes43c2,995$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes58c2,900$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.9931152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes46c2,789$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.1675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No54c2,725$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.4810849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7d…8b3ebacked Yes46c2,703$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.5811138.7%43 W · 68 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+52.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes46c2,677$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.6328025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked No49c2,551$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.194035%14 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c2,500$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.033,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No54c2,500$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.543,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307b…3bd2backed Yes41c2,450$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.541338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe7…6143backed Yes46c2,391$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.34717%8 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No55c2,333$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.171,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed No55c2,300$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.943551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Yes45c2,230$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.414351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1578…ce4bbacked Yes45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff91…f8c3backed Yes46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.915653.6%30 W · 26 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fce…a7c8backed Yes46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.917032.9%23 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Yes46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.914261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed Yes47c2,139$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.2913750.4%69 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes48c2,136$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.7437944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Yes53c2,112$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.138160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes45c2,090$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.089150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed No2c2,076$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.511,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed No53c2,070$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.083366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No49c2,065$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.7956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No51c2,015$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.932,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1004650%23 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9913045.4%59 W · 71 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No56c1,965$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No53c1,943$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.557458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes46c1,926$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.4936234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No4c1,890$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.41,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6242…841bbacked Yes59c1,816$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.1817735%62 W · 115 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes69c1,814$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.794,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes51c1,765$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.714235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No54c1,651$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.843,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc374…cee1backed Yes46c1,573$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.383441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00da…d262backed Yes46c1,470$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.88045%36 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes46c1,439$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.461,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Yes43c1,400$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7987639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes48c1,364$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.3920427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes46c1,348$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.8315853.2%84 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked No55c1,332$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.613860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes46c1,301$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.6223224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed No56c1,236$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69212853.9%69 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc08a…92a4backed Yes45c1,198$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.889420.2%19 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad52…990fbacked No43c1,151$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.