Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee988394101418666c2ce23d471dfbf9c695725fe61f0c74356fa0f712e16e30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 15c | 19,057$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.6 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 5,938$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 5,098$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 10c | 3,117$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 15c | 2,921$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.15 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585f…b9fbbacked Yes | 17c | 2,378$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 2,313$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.84 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce9…a32dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,923$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.74 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes | 15c | 1,628$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 136 | 10.3%14 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,071$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 15c | 836.35$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7942backed Yes | 28c | 713.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…4ca3backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…0f64backed Yes | 4c | 609.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 27c | 568.71$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.33 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 523.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 22c | 523.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 15c | 450.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 22c | 450$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 27c | 435$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 16c | 394.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 16c | 355.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…ee94backed Yes | 22c | 350$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 18c | 305.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 14c | 299.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2f…ef88backed Yes | 16c | 288.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 19c | 254.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…84f0backed Yes | 28c | 227.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 16c | 212.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 24c | 202$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…cd21backed Yes | 16c | 199.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…0047backed No | 80c | 188.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Yes | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…77f0backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…c807backed No | 78c | 129.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…05bfbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Yes | 30c | 107.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | +19.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ba…61b4backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…0c70backed Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…1a65backed Yes | 15c | 100.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…2454backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…17cabacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 17c | 78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 28c | 77.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 175 | 33.7%59 W · 116 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0453…61b6backed Yes | 16c | 74.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…067abacked Yes | 16c | 69.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ff…374dbacked Yes | 16c | 68.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb1…944cbacked Yes | 28c | 67.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…1422backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…3290backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…6ae4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…81b3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed No | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f30…e4e7backed No | 78c | 42.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2860…d629backed No | 78c | 21.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 249 | 47.4%118 W · 131 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 71c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.