TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed Yes15c19,057$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.621029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c5,938$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.138,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No79c5,098$4,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.394,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes10c3,117$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31231611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes15c2,921$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.152,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585f…b9fbbacked Yes17c2,378$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.89520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes17c2,313$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.844,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce9…a32dbacked Yes16c1,923$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.742128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes15c1,628$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.213610.3%14 W · 122 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked No73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8627327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes15c1,071$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes15c836.35$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.292,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7942backed Yes28c713.34$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.97229.1%2 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008528.2%24 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1e…0f64backed Yes4c609.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes27c568.71$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3320427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes14c523.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.241,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes22c523.13$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.51,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes15c450.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5142640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes22c450$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes27c435$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.011,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes16c394.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x323b…df9abacked Yes16c355.88$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.947919%15 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3942…ee94backed Yes22c350$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774020%8 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes18c305.05$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.061,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes14c299.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8814323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2f…ef88backed Yes16c288.56$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.17812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-72.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e0…7387backed No76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.164454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes19c254.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.662,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c09…84f0backed Yes28c227.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.662948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes16c212.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8265036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes24c202$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.781,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96a3…cd21backed Yes16c199.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9160%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fb…0047backed No80c188.8$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.764344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Yes20c165$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…77f0backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259315.1%14 W · 79 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520729%60 W · 147 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes18c140$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed No78c129.9$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9816056.3%90 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72c2…05bfbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013021.5%28 W · 102 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Yes30c107.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3228149.8%140 W · 141 L+19.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ba…61b4backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes16c106.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7fc…1a65backed Yes15c100.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621058.1%122 W · 88 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61b9…2454backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1429813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd74…17cabacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145042%21 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes17c78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes28c77.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8117533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0453…61b6backed Yes16c74.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.932334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3878…067abacked Yes16c69.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ff…374dbacked Yes16c68.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb1…944cbacked Yes28c67.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1211626.7%31 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x099e…b3c1backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010339.8%41 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd99f…3290backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014526.2%38 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4a…6ae4backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105560%33 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c51…81b3backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed No75c52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138053.8%43 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f30…e4e7backed No78c42.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.352254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2860…d629backed No78c21.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.653641.7%15 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5524947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No71c17.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9624654.1%133 W · 113 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed No79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0816647%78 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed No79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.113850%69 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.