TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6c5…6f9c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
319
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13021.5%28 W · 102 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$2,084.57
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$213.53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+575.2%+$690.25
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT5825.9%15 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick16cpaid+121.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.04
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+1,415.2%+$424.55
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+982.7%+$1,965.42
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+1,575.3%+$3,229.41
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+904.4%+$180.87
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+1,410.9%+$2,257.39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+920.6%+$1,933.2
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.95
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.5
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.84
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$150.69
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.68
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$220.35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,244.16
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.82
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$339.97
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.09
Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.59
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$141.18
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+154.7%+$223.91
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.34
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.5
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.88
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$730.7
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.08
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.11
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$327.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+525%+$149.56
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.64
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+205.2%+$718.62
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.17
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+113%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+3,130.2%+$1,252.07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,431Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53%+$2,347.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$126.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+89%+$142.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$514.69
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$732
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$231.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$333.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$528.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+26%+$305.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$241.39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,997Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$661.12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+399%+$747.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.59
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$116.87
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$496
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$81.11
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-64.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+309.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+309.8%+$92.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.