Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fa5d80f8f8fec384b629d60a47c8c669ff7e6ea469edb9f91ccfd030b7f56d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,034,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,519,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,034,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,776 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked No | 49c | 337,576$164,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172,748.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 20c | 273,928$55,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,686.18 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 39c | 153,745$60,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,358.31 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 7c | 98,255$6,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,756.96 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 1c | 81,709$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.25 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 3c | 73,661$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.13 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c5…913cbacked Yes | 0c | 73,099$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 3c | 60,879$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.19 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…6d60backed No | 69c | 59,982$41,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,594.51 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 64c | 59,661$38,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,361.71 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…8803backed Yes | 50c | 56,346$28,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,163.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…043abacked Yes | 5c | 47,451$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 6c | 47,229$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.16 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 53c | 45,818$24,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,151.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yes | 14c | 36,469$5,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,143.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…dea5backed Yes | 50c | 31,112$15,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,556.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 3c | 30,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbed…10f7backed Yes | 52c | 26,397$13,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,622.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eba…3865backed Yes | 15c | 25,616$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 71c | 25,130$17,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,323.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…1160backed Yes | 12c | 24,879$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.47 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 76c | 23,324$17,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,536.38 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…8783backed Yes | 46c | 22,926$10,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,606.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…0e62backed Yes | 51c | 21,281$10,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,853.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 53c | 20,731$10,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,751.49 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 17c | 20,314$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.22 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 64c | 18,189$11,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,540.93 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 13c | 18,153$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.54 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c2…1007backed Yes | 8c | 18,056$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 55c | 17,592$9,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,951.53 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 63c | 17,248$10,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,406.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…62e0backed No | 52c | 16,434$8,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,889.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed No | 77c | 16,413$12,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.64 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca7…ce74backed Yes | 48c | 16,326$7,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,836.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 15,876$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked No | 48c | 15,499$7,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,048.95 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 14c | 15,466$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.17 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b0…4cf2backed No | 79c | 14,603$11,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 41c | 14,287$5,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800.68 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…e8b3backed Yes | 4c | 14,100$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 53c | 13,932$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.1 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 11c | 13,796$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 36c | 13,596$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.75 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…74e2backed No | 57c | 13,558$7,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,833.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed Yes | 16c | 13,406$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…6893backed Yes | 1c | 13,325$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 34c | 13,220$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510.36 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…3170backed Yes | 47c | 12,576$5,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,910.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…28f8backed Yes | 50c | 12,389$6,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,244.58 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 44c | 12,384$5,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8a2abacked Yes | 1c | 12,337$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 42c | 12,323$5,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,205.26 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 8c | 11,999$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.97 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 51c | 11,902$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,805.91 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e3…bfd5backed Yes | 47c | 11,753$5,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,558.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x053e…1e27backed Yes | 44c | 11,583$5,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,102.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked No | 53c | 11,112$5,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,209.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 21c | 10,968$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.58 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 41c | 10,953$4,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.28 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 31c | 10,711$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.6 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 7c | 10,585$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.97 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +243.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 10,495$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.47 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…02bfbacked Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 8c | 9,971$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 40c | 9,809$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.72 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…b8debacked Yes | 19c | 9,627$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…4a03backed No | 64c | 9,573$6,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15af…9e32backed Yes | 2c | 9,441$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ca…2598backed No | 55c | 9,423$5,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…c2bfbacked Yes | 9c | 9,300$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…a55cbacked No | 57c | 9,193$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,954 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes | 38c | 9,059$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 8,973$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.34 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 4c | 8,967$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 25c | 8,678$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.02 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…c803backed No | 69c | 8,518$5,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 3c | 8,514$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.72 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…42d1backed Yes | 51c | 8,310$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,238.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c3…c6a8backed Yes | 35c | 8,106$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 5c | 7,961$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…00c8backed Yes | 13c | 7,910$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…2488backed Yes | 11c | 7,874$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 73c | 7,703$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…2c49backed Yes | 31c | 7,528$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.36 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…8fd0backed Yes | 3c | 7,333$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…5b3fbacked Yes | 26c | 7,196$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.84 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 5c | 7,052$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.5 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 67c | 6,681$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.33 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…e798backed Yes | 18c | 6,578$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.92 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked Yes | 16c | 6,528$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.06 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72d…6424backed Yes | 12c | 6,281$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…31cebacked No | 59c | 6,257$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed No | 54c | 6,200$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 34c | 6,032$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.21 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…e8e8backed Yes | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 18c | 5,965$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.48 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed No | 63c | 5,896$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…0bdabacked No | 69c | 5,804$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.