Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05ccbc3b7861349dc2fc0ce2c2bca9fd9671675171d7070abdf087ba1d7f085b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,348,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,621,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,348,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 64c | 308,017$198,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,570.47 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 30c | 199,989$60,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,291.35 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked Yes | 18c | 162,186$28,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,378.87 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 68c | 159,864$108,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,682.64 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 7c | 139,843$9,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,368.56 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 3c | 92,597$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.8 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…b1babacked No | 1c | 67,880$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 55c | 54,939$30,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,489.74 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…7de7backed No | 0c | 46,004$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc266…2f2fbacked No | 0c | 46,004$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…a38ebacked No | 76c | 38,487$29,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,140.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked No | 0c | 37,034$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…c43ebacked No | 12c | 36,696$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 0c | 35,887$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 78c | 35,779$28,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,001.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5529backed No | 0c | 32,203$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 69c | 32,101$22,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,133.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 19c | 32,098$6,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,128.83 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…1160backed No | 70c | 30,339$21,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,280.64 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 1c | 29,481$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.63 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 8c | 29,057$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.48 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…d5b1backed Yes | 17c | 28,167$4,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,450.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +497.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 62c | 28,023$17,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,319.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 62c | 27,959$17,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,300.53 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 16c | 27,907$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.69 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 1c | 27,893$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 17c | 26,990$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486.17 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed Yes | 40c | 26,853$10,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,055.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…333bbacked Yes | 23c | 24,305$5,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,629.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 51c | 20,489$10,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,543.79 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…169dbacked Yes | 33c | 19,377$6,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,947.47 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…b969backed Yes | 31c | 18,911$5,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,077.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…79d2backed No | 0c | 18,402$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 33c | 17,913$5,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,991.41 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…ae12backed No | 75c | 17,362$13,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,027.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 61cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked No | 72c | 16,689$11,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,953.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dc…967ebacked No | 7c | 16,585$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 74c | 16,266$11,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,982.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 11c | 16,141$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.5 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 4c | 16,110$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…af9ebacked No | 0c | 15,641$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 57c | 15,127$8,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,691.12 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 27c | 14,693$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,733.23 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked No | 65c | 14,578$9,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,428.63 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked No | 35c | 13,351$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692.77 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked No | 69c | 13,321$9,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,214.58 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…676fbacked Yes | 43c | 12,587$5,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,173.02 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 8c | 11,563$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.91 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36ca…2598backed Yes | 25c | 11,436$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,591.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…b679backed No | 36c | 11,320$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…adb6backed No | 71c | 11,116$7,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,858.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed No | 54c | 10,871$5,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,867.48 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked No | 77c | 10,550$8,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,131.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x121f…4765backed Yes | 21c | 10,355$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,185 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c64…4255backed Yes | 28c | 10,196$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,369.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 75c | 10,154$7,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,643.9 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 9c | 9,914$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.3 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…700dbacked No | 79c | 9,857$7,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,750.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 38c | 9,827$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,075.07 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…6609backed No | 77c | 9,696$7,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,417.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…396bbacked Yes | 26c | 9,667$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…1e69backed Yes | 50c | 9,591$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…2919backed No | 61c | 9,009$5,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72d…6424backed Yes | 23c | 8,389$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,459.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 33c | 8,195$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 20c | 8,169$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,513.01 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b57…20b1backed No | 66c | 7,996$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,278.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…61dfbacked No | 58c | 7,968$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…09f8backed No | 56c | 7,764$4,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,377.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac6…bcd6backed No | 3c | 7,405$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 26c | 7,287$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed No | 77c | 7,271$5,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,573.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…c3a8backed No | 49c | 7,247$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 38c | 7,173$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,446.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 38c | 6,956$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331.62 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…156fbacked Yes | 33c | 6,877$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…6555backed Yes | 38c | 6,735$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Yes | 17c | 6,340$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…6e32backed Yes | 21c | 6,094$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,786.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…a31bbacked No | 3c | 5,996$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked No | 58c | 5,977$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 77c | 5,949$4,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,562.21 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked No | 51c | 5,908$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.07 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 40c | 5,867$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,517.25 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked No | 2c | 5,737$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yes | 24c | 5,679$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,322.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 5,484$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 36c | 5,371$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 3c | 5,315$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed No | 75c | 5,227$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…66bbbacked Yes | 18c | 5,191$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 5,113$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.8 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…cc02backed No | 42c | 5,046$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 44c | 4,921$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.99 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed No | 55c | 4,907$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…77c1backed Yes | 43c | 4,885$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 17c | 4,871$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018.89 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked No | 46c | 4,841$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.38 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 43c | 4,810$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.02 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.