Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fe8b0f19001c5d61f186edc1991347a60eda9c5bc096f5f144c13d6cd72de78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,989,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,071,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,989,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eba…3865backed Yes | 3c | 348,220$9,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,729.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x826b…2669backed Yes | 4c | 206,469$7,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,770.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked Yes | 1c | 92,263$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe946…4cc4backed Yes | 3c | 75,205$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 1c | 65,902$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.61 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…b66dbacked Yes | 2c | 65,647$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Yes | 2c | 62,929$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…9cc5backed Yes | 3c | 59,984$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 56,343$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.82 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd375…5438backed Yes | 3c | 46,027$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 3c | 43,870$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.81 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…5b3fbacked Yes | 3c | 43,494$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.49 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…2f93backed Yes | 0c | 43,248$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…a47fbacked Yes | 3c | 42,996$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 3c | 39,981$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.64 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…5793backed Yes | 1c | 39,247$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.07 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…cf2ebacked Yes | 2c | 38,700$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.76 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 2c | 36,115$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.62 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…d4b1backed Yes | 0c | 35,212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…6893backed Yes | 0c | 34,605$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ba…96abbacked Yes | 1c | 33,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7605…db3bbacked Yes | 2c | 29,706$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…2f08backed Yes | 1c | 29,604$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…0098backed Yes | 3c | 29,224$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 2c | 29,200$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.3 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1a…bf63backed Yes | 3c | 28,890$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 1c | 28,820$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.78 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…c2bfbacked Yes | 1c | 28,377$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.09 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…9ea3backed Yes | 1c | 28,072$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 27,635$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.79 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…195ebacked Yes | 2c | 27,553$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 2c | 27,122$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 0c | 26,850$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…2677backed Yes | 4c | 26,540$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 2c | 25,522$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.73 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 3c | 23,901$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…a9c0backed Yes | 1c | 23,052$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 1c | 22,800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked Yes | 3c | 22,754$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…1d55backed Yes | 2c | 22,216$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 1c | 21,694$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 2c | 21,190$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.52 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc002…6f57backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 1c | 19,968$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.55 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 3c | 19,963$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.72 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…008dbacked Yes | 3c | 19,576$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.38 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…d9bdbacked Yes | 4c | 19,521$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes | 3c | 19,495$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…1402backed Yes | 1c | 19,400$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 2c | 19,399$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.7 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…b1babacked Yes | 4c | 19,263$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…0a5cbacked Yes | 2c | 19,125$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…d922backed Yes | 2c | 18,161$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 2c | 17,234$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.62 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…bd19backed Yes | 1c | 16,531$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 3c | 16,094$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 15,809$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 1c | 15,541$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.32 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…db86backed Yes | 2c | 15,107$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 3c | 14,943$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.27 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…2246backed Yes | 2c | 14,818$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…7b5bbacked Yes | 3c | 13,958$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 1c | 13,362$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…ed89backed Yes | 1c | 13,151$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 4c | 12,771$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…88d5backed Yes | 0c | 12,634$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…8d64backed Yes | 2c | 12,562$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.07 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd157…0b20backed Yes | 2c | 12,508$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…41f7backed Yes | 2c | 12,486$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.72 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…4baabacked Yes | 3c | 12,192$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 3c | 12,069$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.79 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 12,030$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.07 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 1c | 11,904$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5e…39d5backed Yes | 3c | 11,568$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…ed4fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,463$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…9efdbacked Yes | 1c | 11,401$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…6bb6backed Yes | 2c | 10,643$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…976abacked Yes | 1c | 10,216$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…5743backed Yes | 1c | 10,186$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…e598backed Yes | 2c | 9,757$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 3c | 9,597$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…2c9fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,376$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.7 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…3c7ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,375$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e44…9863backed Yes | 3c | 9,283$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812f…27f0backed Yes | 1c | 9,115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe82…b6f4backed Yes | 0c | 9,085$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9715…4577backed Yes | 2c | 9,017$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…0c95backed Yes | 2c | 8,704$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.37 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…840ebacked Yes | 3c | 8,576$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…f0a6backed Yes | 4c | 8,425$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 2c | 8,387$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…762fbacked Yes | 3c | 8,206$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…f38bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,002$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…d2fdbacked Yes | 2c | 7,983$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 3c | 7,928$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.13 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +243.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 2c | 7,644$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…ad07backed Yes | 1c | 7,391$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.