Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41b7f92e082fee780113808dd56fa7c58f29a04fc61edbf5140669b83d9fa492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 12c | 14,698$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.03 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 23c | 1,603$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.42 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 27c | 991.54$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.24 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 907.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 15c | 606.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 73c | 448.94$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 18c | 407.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 17c | 374.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…dbacbacked No | 27c | 272.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked No | 30c | 250.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb935…204bbacked Yes | 68c | 229.4$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…edf1backed No | 27c | 221.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…843ebacked No | 14c | 213.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed Yes | 79c | 177.59$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Yes | 70c | 139.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…d325backed Yes | 77c | 127.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e5…7087backed No | 27c | 126.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +170.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…8125backed No | 14c | 125.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…90a2backed No | 30c | 122.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed Yes | 69c | 122.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc310…5bc6backed Yes | 74c | 119.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 95.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,045 | 34.6%362 W · 683 L | -93.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b18cbacked No | 19c | 93.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +128%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 29c | 86.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…f4e9backed No | 24c | 69.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2d…e3c7backed No | 18c | 69.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…424bbacked Yes | 74c | 66.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 73c | 65.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…6b18backed Yes | 76c | 64.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 71c | 55.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…16c9backed Yes | 72c | 51.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…5de2backed Yes | 76c | 50.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…019bbacked No | 28c | 40.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…ffaabacked Yes | 72c | 40.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x244b…c0fdbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f86…3a77backed Yes | 74c | 39.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 80c | 38.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…62b2backed No | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 75c | 37.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 69c | 37.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…2064backed Yes | 75c | 28.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -12.9wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.