TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9660…8bb6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Commodities, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.01
Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.32
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.79
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.42
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$38.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+753%+$319.03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.14
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.54
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60.04
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+229.9%+$50.4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$39.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.27
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.93
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.63
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$95.4
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$61.46
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.79
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$66.99
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.56
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.75
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$93.1
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.1
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.4
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.73
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.9
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.56
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.63
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$141.53
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$9.85
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.97
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+274.2%+$630.94
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.88
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$366
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$46.7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.19
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+57.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+506.1%+$334
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.71
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$73.54
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.12
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.26
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$100
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+98%+$49.55
Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$299.05
Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+35%+$36.26
Will King Charles say "American" or "America" 15+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$69.3
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.59
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.17
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$69.25
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.49
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.2
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.5
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.4
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.31
Will any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.98
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$73.26
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+60.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.49
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.48
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$115.01
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.02
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+269%+$322.47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$38.18
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 17?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$212
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.45
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.56
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 14?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$33.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 3 weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.71
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 2 weeks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$30.64
Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+27%+$52.35
Will "Armani" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.75
Will "No No No" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$14.35
Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+171.5%+$186.29
Will "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.18
Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.12
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.15
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$6
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Officebacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.55
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.58
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$38.05
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.73
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.91
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$43.58
All 8 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-62.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Octra FDV above $30M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fuego win LRN 2026 Split 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.21
Will Galions qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$322.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Forca Lleida CE vs. Barcelonabacked Forca Lleida CE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,429.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+151.2%+$38.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arxis’s market cap be between $12B and $13B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Britney win at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.