World Politics · resolved market
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18ddcf51a87e7dbf5133339ad116db0673e4d2bd5154ee9050088c60cec4e3b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 70c | 1,593$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.01 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed Yes | 9c | 1,365$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 31c | 780.56$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.56 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 72c | 478.63$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.26 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 26c | 416.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed No | 17c | 400$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa154…8de3backed No | 27c | 344.23$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 11c | 335.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 270.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 32c | 243.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.62 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7639…e89cbacked Yes | 66c | 181.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 8c | 179.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…493ebacked No | 40c | 174.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 25c | 164.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 137.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 136.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 27c | 134.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…3179backed Yes | 9c | 133.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c58…c2ddbacked No | 49c | 100.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 68c | 99.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…f529backed Yes | 65c | 95.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 66c | 91.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9835…6d8ebacked Yes | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 50c | 83.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…93c4backed No | 28c | 83.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c91…6795backed Yes | 68c | 80.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…0583backed No | 33c | 73.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4845…2391backed No | 58c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 25c | 62.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 46c | 55.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…10fbbacked No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…bb75backed Yes | 69c | 43.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 35c | 40.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 33c | 39.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 32c | 38.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…7e2cbacked No | 35c | 37.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…dc6bbacked Yes | 32c | 35.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 61c | 28.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9ee2backed No | 36c | 28.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9446backed No | 39c | 28.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…170fbacked Yes | 64c | 27.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ee…6402backed Yes | 77c | 24.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 61c | 22.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…3ebcbacked Yes | 65c | 16.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.