TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x355e…a038

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
927
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Earnings, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 60 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT24037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 240 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.53
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.85
Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.68
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.92
Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.94
Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.86
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.38
Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.05
Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the announcers say "Bieber" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.7
Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.55
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.18
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+160%+$1,468.05
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$192.4
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.48
Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$901.21
Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$114.4
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,705.08
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$312
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.01
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,298.64
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.83
Showing 25 of 240 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT13654.4%74 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$85.76
Will "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$60.05
Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$15.78
Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$58.21
Will "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$65.32
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$47.24
Will "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$69.13
Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$119.2
Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$141.34
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.61
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.83
Will GPT-5.6 not be released before August 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.6
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.86
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.69
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$67.4
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$100.84
Grok 4.4 released by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.25
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$150.35
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.48
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.56
Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$207.54
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$223.21
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10658.5%62 W · 44 L+12.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Earnings — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX say "Data Center" 5+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Will Spotify say "Premium" 20+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+443.8%+$549.75
Will Spotify say "Fitness" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$87
Will Palantir say "Apollo" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.85
Will Palantir say "Slop" or "AI Slop" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$157
Will Meta say "Advertising" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$431.37
Will Meta say "Reality Lab" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.07
Will Microsoft say "Excel" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35%+$66.76
Will Microsoft say "Memory" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$154.71
Will Intel say "Data Center" 5+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$39.25
Will Intel say "Node Ramp" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.78
Will General Motors say "Dollar" 10+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$69.43
Will General Motors say "Revenue" 10+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$256.38
Will General Motors say "Truck" 5+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$71.22
Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Will Bank of America say "Synergy" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
Will Bank of America say "Ecosystem" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Will Bank of America say "Pivot" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will Dell say "Quarter" 7+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will Google say "Cutting-edge" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Netflix say "Jake Paul" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+36.7%+$35.01
Will BlackRock say "Record AUM" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.24
Will BlackRock say "Stablecoin" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Will BlackRock say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Delta say "Weather" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$76.37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$338
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.43
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+40%+$196.43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$653.15
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$29.55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$551.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$326
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$249
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169.65
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$211.07
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$712.84
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$228
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$147.99
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.88
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT8250%41 W · 41 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.61
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.86
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$63.9
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$182.08
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100.4
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$268.13
Trump declares a national emergency by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20.63
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Mamdani say "Subway" or "Transit" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Mamdani say "Queens" or "Manhattan" or "Brooklyn" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Mamdani say "Safe" or "Safety" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Mamdani say "Immigrant" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Mamdani say "Home" or "Housing" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Mamdani say "Trump" or "The President" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Mamdani say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$164.73
Will Kathy Hochul say "Trump" 3+ times during the State of the State address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.4
Will Kathy Hochul say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the State of the State address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+45.6%+$9.4
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$19.71
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.9%+$46.21
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.9
Will None in 2025 occur?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5851.7%30 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+209.1%+$164.62
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$907.63
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,020.74
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.06
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$17
Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$126.58
Will Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$16.85
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.35
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$630.56
Will Starmer say "Labour" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$34.16
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$37.45
Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$12.54
Will King Charles say "Ballroom" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$96.76
Will King Charles say "Freedom" 5+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$22.69
Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$63.9
Will King Charles say "Colony" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Will King Charles say "King" or "Kingdom" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$57.05
Will King Charles say "Independence" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
Will King Charles say "Honor" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.07
Will King Charles say "Mother" or "Mama" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Will King Charles say "American" or "America" 15+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+191%+$32.51
Will King Charles say "Anniversary" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$9.08
Will King Charles say "Ukraine" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.37
Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT4759.6%28 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.68
Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$976.59
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+62.1%+$248.3
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+237%+$316.07
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+160.3%+$264.24
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+154.6%+$328.37
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+147.7%+$178.02
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$62.91
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+173.2%+$316.7
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+75.1%+$88.9
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+36.4%+$17.6
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$243.8
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$115.72
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$168.39
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+89.6%+$578.8
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.6%+$75.11
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.9
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.9
Will Donald Trump say "suit" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+47.6%+$7.42
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$39.59
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.89
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.52
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.4
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$129.9
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.88
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$79.14
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$21.82
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$326.1
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?backed Trump Announce Fed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+28.2%+$60.11
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.28
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.8
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$39.8
Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$115.59
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+153.3%+$75.45
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+109%+$69.24
Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+244.8%+$28.4
Will the Fed cut-pause-cut in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.72
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.14
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$9.02
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$21.6
Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+93.5%+$28.99
Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+90.5%+$143.42
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$112.71
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.84
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$87.45
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+73.6%+$10.6
Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.55
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+90%+$31.58
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.44
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+151.7%+$122.87
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+161.9%+$116.54
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.7%+$223.18
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.8%+$36.07
Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+42.8%+$34.43
All 17 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+82.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Music — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$19.69
Will "LeBron" or "Bronny" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+72%+$12.56
Will "Caleb" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+829.7%+$93.04
Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+414%+$88.6
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$18.88
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" or "Kelce" on The Late Show on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.94
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 30–35 million views on Friday at noon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+165.3%+$42.33
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 25–30 million views on Friday at noon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.03
Will Taylor Swift say "Swiftie" 3+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Taylor Swift say "Pregnant" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Taylor Swift say "Album" 5+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$13.38
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during NYC rally?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.75
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Affordability" during NYC rally?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Republican" during NYC rally?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.88
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Kathy" or "Hochul" during NYC rally?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$16.95
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+149.1%+$41.9
Will anyone say "Public transport" 3+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will anyone say "LGBTQ" or "Transgender" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+214.8%+$35.5
Will anyone say "Jew" or "Muslim" or "Christian" 30+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?-P817backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$8.5
Will anyone say "Genocide" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+201.2%+$37.86
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.75
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Dream" 3+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Immigrant" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$33.3
Will Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 12+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+51.3%+$18
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Homeless" or "Homelessness" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.35per pick43cpaid-85.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,569Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,569.42
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.98
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.74
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.89
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.89
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.26
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.26
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$757.94
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$280.84
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$176.29
Will Trump say "TikTok" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.96
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$113.99
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45.5
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$142.63
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$112
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+64.9%+$436.88
Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$83
Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.28
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.94
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.45
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+340.3%+$54.1
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+32.9%+$149.16
Will a hurricane form by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.85
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.91
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will a hurricane form by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.51
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$14.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-70.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.93
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$639.19
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+191.3%+$197
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.49
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$456
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$671.7
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$182.02
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$84.91
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$706.19
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,306Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+41.7%+$545.39
All 8 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.9
Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+52.1%+$26.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+34.3%+$20.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nate Diaz fight Conor McGregor next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$15.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.