NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1827e1acceb8c43fa65c9783170f025cb1bbff500cf3054494db73194fa5a1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Timberwolves, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,309,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,426,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,309,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Timberwolves | 40c | 619,071$247,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247,628.32 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 60c | 359,806$215,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,320.05 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets | 60c | 128,870$77,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,836.61 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Rockets | 60c | 126,217$76,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,893.59 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Timberwolves | 41c | 73,031$30,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,259.58 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Timberwolves | 41c | 60,976$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…0313backed Timberwolves | 50c | 59,463$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Rockets | 61c | 54,360$33,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,343.82 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Rockets | 59c | 52,423$31,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,242.27 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 33c | 40,234$13,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,130.86 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 39,333$15,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,572.61 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 36c | 39,071$13,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,990.97 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Timberwolves | 40c | 38,533$15,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,413.2 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Timberwolves | 43c | 31,608$13,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,464.03 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 60c | 31,243$18,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,497.04 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 54c | 30,394$16,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,485.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Timberwolves | 40c | 30,000$11,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,949.97 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…7ed0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 29,507$15,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,226.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Rockets | 46c | 28,937$13,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,626.25 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 60c | 28,184$16,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,244.47 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 20c | 23,566$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,729.85 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed Timberwolves | 38c | 22,952$8,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,830.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Timberwolves | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.92 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 49c | 19,405$9,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,814.64 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Rockets | 71c | 17,505$12,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,154.51 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 53c | 17,327$9,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,161.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847a…8e2bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 15,171$8,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,040.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 62c | 15,005$9,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,701.9 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Timberwolves | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.95 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Timberwolves | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.94 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 14,894$5,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,701.88 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 47c | 14,763$6,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,933.72 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Rockets | 49c | 14,526$7,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,344.99 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…3d6abacked Timberwolves | 20c | 14,430$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.34 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 60c | 14,092$8,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,645.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Rockets | 58c | 13,500$7,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,625.01 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 60c | 13,401$8,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,311.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Rockets | 77c | 13,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Rockets | 62c | 12,903$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.23 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 38c | 12,500$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 60c | 12,173$7,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,828.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Rockets | 61c | 11,781$7,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.4 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Rockets | 61c | 11,682$7,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.8 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Timberwolves | 2c | 11,640$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.47 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Rockets | 61c | 11,407$6,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.67 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockets | 60c | 11,111$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,444.4 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…68d3backed Timberwolves | 39c | 10,800$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 60c | 10,608$6,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.6 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Timberwolves | 41c | 10,600$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.14 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 51c | 10,466$5,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175.68 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Rockets | 65c | 10,240$6,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.73 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Rockets | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b31…11a8backed Timberwolves | 41c | 9,760$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Timberwolves | 3c | 9,218$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.32 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 57c | 8,945$5,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.9 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…6a89backed Timberwolves | 52c | 8,899$4,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.6 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 8,762$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,513.49 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 43c | 8,761$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.71 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Rockets | 72c | 8,601$6,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.77 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 62c | 8,470$5,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.11 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Rockets | 60c | 8,270$4,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Rockets | 60c | 8,168$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.09 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 39c | 8,044$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.33 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Rockets | 54c | 8,032$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.5 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed Timberwolves | 62c | 8,007$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Rockets | 60c | 7,806$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.31 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves | 30c | 7,607$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.38 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Timberwolves | 38c | 7,500$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.94 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Rockets | 60c | 7,357$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.93 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Timberwolves | 16c | 7,327$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.18 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 7,200$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.97 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Timberwolves | 41c | 7,078$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.93 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Rockets | 54c | 7,018$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.87 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Rockets | 46c | 7,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Rockets | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Rockets | 41c | 6,953$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106.77 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…d9bdbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 6,750$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Rockets | 59c | 6,500$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 41c | 6,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Timberwolves | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…977fbacked Rockets | 56c | 5,563$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.05 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Rockets | 61c | 5,363$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.75 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Rockets | 48c | 5,190$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.53 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Timberwolves | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Rockets | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…fca7backed Rockets | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Timberwolves | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Rockets | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Timberwolves | 40c | 4,970$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Timberwolves | 18c | 4,847$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.04 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Rockets | 45c | 4,790$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.48 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Timberwolves | 15c | 4,560$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.93 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Timberwolves | 4c | 4,535$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.88 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 4,401$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.34 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Rockets | 55c | 4,245$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.28 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,239$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.06 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Timberwolves | 40c | 4,204$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.38 | 415 | 50.1%208 W · 207 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Rocketsthis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.